Othercited by the Tayebat archiveabstract only checked★ key study A-CHK-11 in-depth review

Discovery of transferable colistin resistance (mcr-1) in China

Emergence of plasmid-mediated colistin resistance mechanism MCR-1 in animals and human beings in China: a microbiological and molecular biological study.

Overview

Liu YY et al.. Lancet Infect Dis 2016 · PMID 26603172 · DOI 10.1016/S1473-3099(15)00424-7

A transferable gene making bacteria resistant to the last-resort antibiotic colistin was found in animals, meat and some patients.

Does the study support the specific claim? Yes · Methodological quality: high

Original publication

Plain-language summary

Study explained simply
What did the researchers want to find out?

Is there plasmid-mediated polymyxin resistance in Enterobacteriaceae in China?

How was the study done?

Surveillance plus microbiological and molecular study discovering plasmid-mediated colistin resistance (mcr-1)

How many people, animals or samples were studied?

804 animals; 523 raw meat samples; 1,322 inpatient samples; E. coli and K. pneumoniae from food animals, raw meat and inpatients in five provinces

What was actually found?

mcr-1 in 166/804 (21%) animals, 78/523 (15%) raw meat, 16/1322 (1%) inpatients; transferable by conjugation; negated colistin in mice.

How large was the observed effect?

Descriptive; conjugation frequencies; mouse model

What do the results mean in everyday life?

Farm antibiotic use can threaten important human medicines.

What are the study's limitations?

China-specific surveillance; Index strain from a pig; poultry-specific share not given in abstract

What does it say about Elawady's specific claim?

Supports resistance concern.

Do the results apply to Germany and Europe?

Moderate.

What can explicitly not be concluded from this study?

Not specific to chicken.

Scientific in-depth review

1. Full reference

Authors
Liu YY, Wang Y, Walsh TR, Yi LX, Zhang R, Spencer J, Doi Y, Tian G, Dong B, Huang X, Yu LF, Gu D, Ren H, Chen X, Lv L, He D, Zhou H, Liang Z, Liu JH, Shen J
Journal
Lancet Infect Dis
Year
2016
Identifier
PMID 26603172 DOI 10.1016/S1473-3099(15)00424-7
Verification
verified – PubMed E-utilities efetch, 2026-10-25
Retracted
no
Corrections
none
Extent checked
abstract only
Conflicts of interest and funding

No COI statement; MRC and Chinese funding

2. Research question

Is there plasmid-mediated polymyxin resistance in Enterobacteriaceae in China?

3. Study design and population

Study design
Other – Surveillance plus microbiological and molecular study discovering plasmid-mediated colistin resistance (mcr-1)
Population

E. coli and K. pneumoniae from food animals, raw meat and inpatients in five provinces

Country

China

Period

April 2011-November 2014

Sample size

804 animals; 523 raw meat samples; 1,322 inpatient samples

Inclusion and exclusion criteria

Surveillance isolates

4. Methods and endpoints

Exposure / intervention

mcr-1 carriage

Comparator

Not applicable

Endpoints

Prevalence; transferability; in-vivo efficacy

Statistical methods

Descriptive; conjugation frequencies; mouse model

5. Actual results

Results

mcr-1 in 166/804 (21%) animals, 78/523 (15%) raw meat, 16/1322 (1%) inpatients; transferable by conjugation; negated colistin in mice.

Absolute risks

not applicable

Authors' conclusion

MCR-1 heralds breach of polymyxins; urgent global action needed.

6. Strengths

  • Landmark discovery
  • Mechanistic confirmation

7. Weaknesses

  • China-specific surveillance
  • Index strain from a pig; poultry-specific share not given in abstract

8. Risk of bias

Orienting tool
none applicable
Type of assessment
simplified assessment (abstract only)
Full formal assessment
no
Overall risk of bias
low
Rationale

Discovery study.

9. Assessment of the statistical interpretation

Descriptive.

10. Relevance to the specific claim

C-CHK-05.

11. Independent contrary findings

Prevalence in other countries not covered.

12. Transferability to Germany and Europe

Moderate.

13. Overall methodological judgement

Key study; slight misattribution to chicken.

Multidimensional assessment
Multidimensional assessment
Authenticity of the sourceverified
Methodological qualityhigh
Risk of biaslow
Precision of resultsmoderate
Directnessindirect
Reproducibilityreplicated
Consistency with the overall evidenceconsistent
Regional transferabilitymoderate
Adequacy of the interpretation (by the archive)partly correct but over-interpreted

14. Open questions

Current prevalence.

15. Linked fact checks

Use by the Tayebat archive

Note: according to the archive, the studies were compiled by the archive operators. Whether Dr. Elawady himself cited this study is not established.

What the archive says about the study

Plasmid-borne mcr-1 was found in 21% of Chinese livestock and 15% of raw meat, then in human patients.

A. What was actually studied?

mcr-1 in animals, meat and humans.

B. What did the authors find?

As quoted.

C. What conclusions do the authors themselves draw?

Global action needed.

D. What does the archive derive from it?

Arabic card says ~20% in "Chinese chicken samples", directly linked to industrial poultry.

E. Is this derivation scientifically justified?

Partly overinterpreted: the abstract reports animals generally (index strain from a pig), not chicken specifically; the sequence "then reached humans" is inferred.

Adequacy of the interpretation (by the archive)
partly correct but over-interpreted