Cohort studycited by the Tayebat archiveabstract only checked A-CHM-02 standard review

Doxorubicin in childhood can affect heart growth years later

Late cardiac effects of doxorubicin therapy for acute lymphoblastic leukemia in childhood.

Overview

Lipshultz SE et al.. N Engl J Med 1991 · PMID 1997853 · DOI 10.1056/NEJM199103213241205

More than half of 115 childhood leukaemia survivors had heart function abnormalities, more often at higher doses.

Does the study support the specific claim? Yes · Methodological quality: moderate

Original publication

Plain-language summary

Study explained simply
What did the researchers want to find out?

Assess late heart effects of doxorubicin.

How was the study done?

Cardiac testing of survivors.

How many people, animals or samples were studied?

115 survivors.

What was actually found?

Dose-dependent abnormalities, progressive afterload rise.

How large was the observed effect?

65% abnormal at >=228 mg/m2.

What do the results mean in everyday life?

Childhood cancer survivors need long-term heart follow-up.

What are the study's limitations?

Small, old doses, no control group.

What does it say about Elawady's specific claim?

Supports existence of late harm.

Do the results apply to Germany and Europe?

Moderate.

What can explicitly not be concluded from this study?

Whether leaving leukaemia untreated would be better (it is not).

Scientific in-depth review

1. Full reference

Authors
Lipshultz SE, Colan SD, Gelber RD, Perez-Atayde AR, Sallan SE, Sanders SP
Journal
N Engl J Med
Year
1991
Identifier
PMID 1997853 DOI 10.1056/NEJM199103213241205
Verification
verified – PubMed E-utilities efetch, 2026-10-25
Retracted
no
Corrections
none
Extent checked
abstract only
Conflicts of interest and funding

not stated in abstract | Grants: NCI NIH HHS, NHLBI NIH HHS

2. Research question

Long-term cardiac effects of doxorubicin given for childhood ALL.

3. Study design and population

Study design
Cohort study – Cross-sectional cardiac evaluation with partial serial follow-up of a treated cohort
Population

Children treated for ALL with doxorubicin 1-15 years earlier, in continuous remission

Country

USA (not stated in abstract; NCI/NHLBI funding)

Period

Evaluation median 6.4 years after treatment

Sample size

115

Inclusion and exclusion criteria

ALL in continuous remission after doxorubicin

4. Methods and endpoints

Exposure / intervention

Doxorubicin, single dose 45 mg/m2 (n=18) or cumulative 228-550 mg/m2 (n=97, median 360)

Comparator

Dose groups; age-adjusted norms

Endpoints

Afterload (end-systolic wall stress), contractility, exercise capacity, heart failure

Statistical methods

Multivariate analyses

5. Actual results

Results

57% had abnormal afterload or contractility. Cumulative dose was the strongest predictor (P<0.002). In patients with >=228 mg/m2: 65% abnormal (59% increased afterload, 23% decreased contractility). Afterload increased progressively in 24 of 34 serially evaluated (71%). 11 had heart failure within one year of treatment; 5 had recurrent failure later; 2 needed transplantation.

Absolute risks

57% with echocardiographic abnormality in this cohort

Authors' conclusion

Doxorubicin in childhood impairs myocardial growth dose-dependently, with progressive increase in afterload, sometimes reduced contractility.

6. Strengths

  • Detailed cardiac phenotyping
  • Dose-response analysis

7. Weaknesses

  • Small, single-institution sample
  • Historical high cumulative doses
  • No untreated control group; partly serial data only

8. Risk of bias

Orienting tool
ROBINS-E
Type of assessment
simplified assessment (abstract only)
Full formal assessment
no
Overall risk of bias
some concerns
Rationale

Selection (remission survivors), no external control.

9. Assessment of the statistical interpretation

Strong dose-response supports causality; prevalence estimates imprecise because of small n.

10. Relevance to the specific claim

Supports late cardiac effects of anthracyclines in children.

11. Independent contrary findings

A-CHM-11 shows reduced anthracycline exposure in later decades and falling late mortality.

12. Transferability to Germany and Europe

Moderate: dosing protocols have changed since the 1970s-80s.

13. Overall methodological judgement

Classic early evidence of late anthracycline cardiotoxicity; correctly but somewhat loosely cited.

Multidimensional assessment
Multidimensional assessment
Authenticity of the sourceverified
Methodological qualitymoderate
Risk of biassome concerns
Precision of resultslow
Directnessdirect
Reproducibilityreplicated
Consistency with the overall evidenceconsistent
Regional transferabilitymoderate
Adequacy of the interpretation (by the archive)essentially correct but incomplete

14. Open questions

Effect size under contemporary lower cumulative doses and cardioprotection.

15. Linked fact checks

Use by the Tayebat archive

Note: according to the archive, the studies were compiled by the archive operators. Whether Dr. Elawady himself cited this study is not established.

What the archive says about the study

Childhood leukaemia survivors who received doxorubicin developed progressive left-ventricular contractile impairment years later.

A. What was actually studied?

Cardiac function years after doxorubicin for childhood ALL.

B. What did the authors find?

Dose-related abnormalities, mainly progressive increase in afterload due to thin ventricular walls; reduced contractility in a minority (23% of the high-dose group).

C. What conclusions do the authors themselves draw?

Doxorubicin impairs myocardial growth in a dose-related fashion.

D. What does the archive derive from it?

Long-term progressive cardiac impairment.

E. Is this derivation scientifically justified?

Largely yes; 'progressive contractile impairment' is slightly imprecise: the progressive finding was increased afterload, while reduced contractility affected a minority. All patients were survivors in remission of a disease that is usually fatal without treatment.

Adequacy of the interpretation (by the archive)
essentially correct but incomplete