Cohort studycited by the Tayebat archiveabstract only checked A-CHM-02 standard review
Doxorubicin in childhood can affect heart growth years later
Late cardiac effects of doxorubicin therapy for acute lymphoblastic leukemia in childhood.
Overview
Lipshultz SE et al.. N Engl J Med 1991 · PMID 1997853 · DOI 10.1056/NEJM199103213241205
More than half of 115 childhood leukaemia survivors had heart function abnormalities, more often at higher doses.
Does the study support the specific claim? Yes · Methodological quality: moderate
Plain-language summary
Study explained simply
- What did the researchers want to find out?
Assess late heart effects of doxorubicin.
- How was the study done?
Cardiac testing of survivors.
- How many people, animals or samples were studied?
115 survivors.
- What was actually found?
Dose-dependent abnormalities, progressive afterload rise.
- How large was the observed effect?
65% abnormal at >=228 mg/m2.
- What do the results mean in everyday life?
Childhood cancer survivors need long-term heart follow-up.
- What are the study's limitations?
Small, old doses, no control group.
- What does it say about Elawady's specific claim?
Supports existence of late harm.
- Do the results apply to Germany and Europe?
Moderate.
- What can explicitly not be concluded from this study?
Whether leaving leukaemia untreated would be better (it is not).
Scientific in-depth review
1. Full reference
- Authors
- Lipshultz SE, Colan SD, Gelber RD, Perez-Atayde AR, Sallan SE, Sanders SP
- Journal
- N Engl J Med
- Year
- 1991
- Identifier
- PMID 1997853 DOI 10.1056/NEJM199103213241205
- Verification
- verified – PubMed E-utilities efetch, 2026-10-25
- Retracted
- no
- Corrections
- none
- Extent checked
- abstract only
- Conflicts of interest and funding
not stated in abstract | Grants: NCI NIH HHS, NHLBI NIH HHS
2. Research question
Long-term cardiac effects of doxorubicin given for childhood ALL.
3. Study design and population
- Study design
- Cohort study – Cross-sectional cardiac evaluation with partial serial follow-up of a treated cohort
- Population
Children treated for ALL with doxorubicin 1-15 years earlier, in continuous remission
- Country
USA (not stated in abstract; NCI/NHLBI funding)
- Period
Evaluation median 6.4 years after treatment
- Sample size
115
- Inclusion and exclusion criteria
ALL in continuous remission after doxorubicin
4. Methods and endpoints
- Exposure / intervention
Doxorubicin, single dose 45 mg/m2 (n=18) or cumulative 228-550 mg/m2 (n=97, median 360)
- Comparator
Dose groups; age-adjusted norms
- Endpoints
Afterload (end-systolic wall stress), contractility, exercise capacity, heart failure
- Statistical methods
Multivariate analyses
5. Actual results
- Results
57% had abnormal afterload or contractility. Cumulative dose was the strongest predictor (P<0.002). In patients with >=228 mg/m2: 65% abnormal (59% increased afterload, 23% decreased contractility). Afterload increased progressively in 24 of 34 serially evaluated (71%). 11 had heart failure within one year of treatment; 5 had recurrent failure later; 2 needed transplantation.
- Absolute risks
57% with echocardiographic abnormality in this cohort
- Authors' conclusion
Doxorubicin in childhood impairs myocardial growth dose-dependently, with progressive increase in afterload, sometimes reduced contractility.
6. Strengths
- Detailed cardiac phenotyping
- Dose-response analysis
7. Weaknesses
- Small, single-institution sample
- Historical high cumulative doses
- No untreated control group; partly serial data only
8. Risk of bias
- Orienting tool
- ROBINS-E
- Type of assessment
- simplified assessment (abstract only)
- Full formal assessment
- no
- Overall risk of bias
- some concerns
- Rationale
Selection (remission survivors), no external control.
9. Assessment of the statistical interpretation
Strong dose-response supports causality; prevalence estimates imprecise because of small n.
10. Relevance to the specific claim
Supports late cardiac effects of anthracyclines in children.
11. Independent contrary findings
A-CHM-11 shows reduced anthracycline exposure in later decades and falling late mortality.
12. Transferability to Germany and Europe
Moderate: dosing protocols have changed since the 1970s-80s.
13. Overall methodological judgement
Classic early evidence of late anthracycline cardiotoxicity; correctly but somewhat loosely cited.
| Multidimensional assessment | |
|---|---|
| Authenticity of the source | verified |
| Methodological quality | moderate |
| Risk of bias | some concerns |
| Precision of results | low |
| Directness | direct |
| Reproducibility | replicated |
| Consistency with the overall evidence | consistent |
| Regional transferability | moderate |
| Adequacy of the interpretation (by the archive) | essentially correct but incomplete |
14. Open questions
Effect size under contemporary lower cumulative doses and cardioprotection.
15. Linked fact checks
Use by the Tayebat archive
Note: according to the archive, the studies were compiled by the archive operators. Whether Dr. Elawady himself cited this study is not established.
- What the archive says about the study
Childhood leukaemia survivors who received doxorubicin developed progressive left-ventricular contractile impairment years later.
- A. What was actually studied?
Cardiac function years after doxorubicin for childhood ALL.
- B. What did the authors find?
Dose-related abnormalities, mainly progressive increase in afterload due to thin ventricular walls; reduced contractility in a minority (23% of the high-dose group).
- C. What conclusions do the authors themselves draw?
Doxorubicin impairs myocardial growth in a dose-related fashion.
- D. What does the archive derive from it?
Long-term progressive cardiac impairment.
- E. Is this derivation scientifically justified?
Largely yes; 'progressive contractile impairment' is slightly imprecise: the progressive finding was increased afterload, while reduced contractility affected a minority. All patients were survivors in remission of a disease that is usually fatal without treatment.
- Adequacy of the interpretation (by the archive)
- essentially correct but incomplete