Cohort studycited by the Tayebat archiveabstract only checked★ key study A-WHT-05 in-depth review

Glycaemic load and heart disease in US nurses

A prospective study of dietary glycemic load, carbohydrate intake, and risk of coronary heart disease in US women.

Overview

Liu S et al.. Am J Clin Nutr 2000 · PMID 10837285 · DOI 10.1093/ajcn/71.6.1455

Women with the highest dietary glycaemic load had about twice the CHD risk.

Does the study support the specific claim? Partly · Methodological quality: moderate

Original publication

Plain-language summary

Study explained simply
What did the researchers want to find out?

GL and CHD

How was the study done?

Cohort 10 y

How many people, animals or samples were studied?

75,521 women

What was actually found?

Higher GL linked to CHD

How large was the observed effect?

RR 1.98

What do the results mean in everyday life?

Fast-acting carbs overall may matter

What are the study's limitations?

Observational; women only

What does it say about Elawady's specific claim?

Applies to all high-GL foods, not only white bread

Do the results apply to Germany and Europe?

Moderate

What can explicitly not be concluded from this study?

Cause; wheat-specific effect

Scientific in-depth review

1. Full reference

Authors
Liu S, Willett WC, Stampfer MJ, Hu FB, Franz M, Sampson L, Hennekens CH, Manson JE
Journal
Am J Clin Nutr
Year
2000
Identifier
PMID 10837285 DOI 10.1093/ajcn/71.6.1455
Verification
verified – PubMed E-utilities efetch, 2026-10-25
Retracted
no
Corrections
none
Extent checked
abstract only
Conflicts of interest and funding

None stated; NIH grants (NCI, NIDDK).

2. Research question

Amount and type of carbohydrate and CHD

3. Study design and population

Study design
Cohort study – Prospective cohort (Nurses' Health Study)
Population

75,521 US women aged 38-63 y

Country

USA

Period

1984-1994

Sample size

75,521; 761 CHD cases

Inclusion and exclusion criteria

No diabetes or CVD at baseline

4. Methods and endpoints

Exposure / intervention

Dietary glycaemic load (FFQ, updated 1986, 1990)

Comparator

Lowest quintile

Endpoints

CHD (fatal, nonfatal)

Statistical methods

Multivariable RR

5. Actual results

Results

RR by GL quintile: 1.00, 1.01, 1.25, 1.51, 1.98 (95% CI 1.41-2.77 for highest; P trend <0.0001); strongest in BMI >=23.

Absolute risks

761 cases in 729,472 person-years (overall rate about 104 per 100,000 person-years, calculated)

Authors' conclusion

High dietary GL from refined carbohydrates increases CHD risk independent of known risk factors.

6. Strengths

  • Large cohort, repeated diet measures

7. Weaknesses

  • Women only, US nurses
  • GL is a whole-diet measure

8. Risk of bias

Orienting tool
ROBINS-E
Type of assessment
simplified assessment (abstract only)
Full formal assessment
no
Overall risk of bias
some concerns
Rationale

Observational.

9. Assessment of the statistical interpretation

Top quintile RR ~2; whole-diet GL, not white bread specifically.

10. Relevance to the specific claim

Supports general carbohydrate-quality argument; indirect for wheat.

11. Independent contrary findings

I-WHT-01 graded GI/GL evidence low to very low.

12. Transferability to Germany and Europe

Moderate.

13. Overall methodological judgement

Indirect support.

Multidimensional assessment
Multidimensional assessment
Authenticity of the sourceverified
Methodological qualitymoderate
Risk of biassome concerns
Precision of resultsmoderate
Directnessindirect
Reproducibilitypartly replicated
Consistency with the overall evidencemixed
Regional transferabilitymoderate
Adequacy of the interpretation (by the archive)partly correct but over-interpreted

14. Open questions

15. Linked fact checks

Use by the Tayebat archive

Note: according to the archive, the studies were compiled by the archive operators. Whether Dr. Elawady himself cited this study is not established.

What the archive says about the study

75,000 nurses: highest quintile of rapidly absorbed carbs (like white bread) nearly doubled CHD risk.

A. What was actually studied?

Whole-diet GL and CHD.

B. What did the authors find?

RR 1.98 top quintile.

C. What conclusions do the authors themselves draw?

High GL from refined carbohydrates increases CHD risk.

D. What does the archive derive from it?

Equates GL with white bread.

E. Is this derivation scientifically justified?

Partly: GL comes from all carbohydrate foods (including potatoes, white rice, sugar, juices, which the system allows); the study is not about white bread alone.

Adequacy of the interpretation (by the archive)
partly correct but over-interpreted