Cohort studycited by the Tayebat archiveabstract only checked★ key study A-WHT-05 in-depth review
Glycaemic load and heart disease in US nurses
A prospective study of dietary glycemic load, carbohydrate intake, and risk of coronary heart disease in US women.
Overview
Liu S et al.. Am J Clin Nutr 2000 · PMID 10837285 · DOI 10.1093/ajcn/71.6.1455
Women with the highest dietary glycaemic load had about twice the CHD risk.
Does the study support the specific claim? Partly · Methodological quality: moderate
Plain-language summary
Study explained simply
- What did the researchers want to find out?
GL and CHD
- How was the study done?
Cohort 10 y
- How many people, animals or samples were studied?
75,521 women
- What was actually found?
Higher GL linked to CHD
- How large was the observed effect?
RR 1.98
- What do the results mean in everyday life?
Fast-acting carbs overall may matter
- What are the study's limitations?
Observational; women only
- What does it say about Elawady's specific claim?
Applies to all high-GL foods, not only white bread
- Do the results apply to Germany and Europe?
Moderate
- What can explicitly not be concluded from this study?
Cause; wheat-specific effect
Scientific in-depth review
1. Full reference
- Authors
- Liu S, Willett WC, Stampfer MJ, Hu FB, Franz M, Sampson L, Hennekens CH, Manson JE
- Journal
- Am J Clin Nutr
- Year
- 2000
- Identifier
- PMID 10837285 DOI 10.1093/ajcn/71.6.1455
- Verification
- verified – PubMed E-utilities efetch, 2026-10-25
- Retracted
- no
- Corrections
- none
- Extent checked
- abstract only
- Conflicts of interest and funding
None stated; NIH grants (NCI, NIDDK).
2. Research question
Amount and type of carbohydrate and CHD
3. Study design and population
- Study design
- Cohort study – Prospective cohort (Nurses' Health Study)
- Population
75,521 US women aged 38-63 y
- Country
USA
- Period
1984-1994
- Sample size
75,521; 761 CHD cases
- Inclusion and exclusion criteria
No diabetes or CVD at baseline
4. Methods and endpoints
- Exposure / intervention
Dietary glycaemic load (FFQ, updated 1986, 1990)
- Comparator
Lowest quintile
- Endpoints
CHD (fatal, nonfatal)
- Statistical methods
Multivariable RR
5. Actual results
- Results
RR by GL quintile: 1.00, 1.01, 1.25, 1.51, 1.98 (95% CI 1.41-2.77 for highest; P trend <0.0001); strongest in BMI >=23.
- Absolute risks
761 cases in 729,472 person-years (overall rate about 104 per 100,000 person-years, calculated)
- Authors' conclusion
High dietary GL from refined carbohydrates increases CHD risk independent of known risk factors.
6. Strengths
- Large cohort, repeated diet measures
7. Weaknesses
- Women only, US nurses
- GL is a whole-diet measure
8. Risk of bias
- Orienting tool
- ROBINS-E
- Type of assessment
- simplified assessment (abstract only)
- Full formal assessment
- no
- Overall risk of bias
- some concerns
- Rationale
Observational.
9. Assessment of the statistical interpretation
Top quintile RR ~2; whole-diet GL, not white bread specifically.
10. Relevance to the specific claim
Supports general carbohydrate-quality argument; indirect for wheat.
11. Independent contrary findings
I-WHT-01 graded GI/GL evidence low to very low.
12. Transferability to Germany and Europe
Moderate.
13. Overall methodological judgement
Indirect support.
| Multidimensional assessment | |
|---|---|
| Authenticity of the source | verified |
| Methodological quality | moderate |
| Risk of bias | some concerns |
| Precision of results | moderate |
| Directness | indirect |
| Reproducibility | partly replicated |
| Consistency with the overall evidence | mixed |
| Regional transferability | moderate |
| Adequacy of the interpretation (by the archive) | partly correct but over-interpreted |
14. Open questions
15. Linked fact checks
Use by the Tayebat archive
Note: according to the archive, the studies were compiled by the archive operators. Whether Dr. Elawady himself cited this study is not established.
- What the archive says about the study
75,000 nurses: highest quintile of rapidly absorbed carbs (like white bread) nearly doubled CHD risk.
- A. What was actually studied?
Whole-diet GL and CHD.
- B. What did the authors find?
RR 1.98 top quintile.
- C. What conclusions do the authors themselves draw?
High GL from refined carbohydrates increases CHD risk.
- D. What does the archive derive from it?
Equates GL with white bread.
- E. Is this derivation scientifically justified?
Partly: GL comes from all carbohydrate foods (including potatoes, white rice, sugar, juices, which the system allows); the study is not about white bread alone.
- Adequacy of the interpretation (by the archive)
- partly correct but over-interpreted