Cohort studyindependent cross-checkabstract checked I-BAR-115 standard review

Sleeve vs a weight-loss drug: Barrett changes

Incidence of Barrett's esophagus and esophageal cancer following sleeve gastrectomy versus liraglutide therapy.

Overview

Butt et al.. Ann Gastroenterol 2026 · PMID 42164611 · DOI 10.20524/aog.2026.1058

Barrett changes were diagnosed in 0.3% after sleeve vs 0.1% with liraglutide; cancer did not differ.

Does the study support the specific claim? Partly · Methodological quality: low

Original publication

Plain-language summary

Study explained simply
What did the researchers want to find out?

Compare BE after SG vs liraglutide

How was the study done?

Matched EHR cohort

How many people, animals or samples were studied?

20,096

What was actually found?

BE 0.3% vs 0.1%

How large was the observed effect?

RR 2.70

What do the results mean in everyday life?

Small absolute increase

What are the study's limitations?

Detection bias

What does it say about Elawady's specific claim?

Supports a modest relative increase

Do the results apply to Germany and Europe?

US data

What can explicitly not be concluded from this study?

Cancer risk

Scientific in-depth review

1. Full reference

Authors
Butt et al.
Journal
Ann Gastroenterol
Year
2026
Identifier
PMID 42164611 DOI 10.20524/aog.2026.1058
Verification
verified – PubMed efetch 2026-10-26 + Crossref API
Retracted
no
Corrections
none
Extent checked
abstract only
Conflicts of interest and funding

COI statement (PubMed record): Conflict of Interest: None

2. Research question

Is Barrett oesophagus or oesophageal cancer more frequent after sleeve gastrectomy than with liraglutide therapy?

3. Study design and population

Study design
Cohort study – Retrospective propensity-matched cohort in an electronic health record database
Population

Adults with obesity treated with SG or liraglutide

Country

USA (EHR network; not specified in abstract)

Period

not stated in abstract

Sample size

10,048 SG vs 10,048 liraglutide

Inclusion and exclusion criteria

Propensity matching on demographics, comorbidities, medication, BMI

4. Methods and endpoints

Exposure / intervention

Sleeve gastrectomy

Comparator

Liraglutide

Endpoints

Non-dysplastic BE >=3 y after treatment; BE with dysplasia; oesophageal cancer

Statistical methods

Risk ratios with 95% CI

5. Actual results

Results

BE without dysplasia 0.3% vs 0.1%; risk difference 0.2% (0.1-0.3%); RR 2.70 (1.31-5.56). BE with dysplasia 0.1% vs 0%. No significant difference in oesophageal cancer.

Absolute risks

Excess about 2 Barrett diagnoses per 1000 sleeve patients.

Authors' conclusion

SG is associated with higher BE risk compared with liraglutide; cancer rates did not differ.

6. Strengths

  • Non-surgical comparator
  • Propensity matching

7. Weaknesses

  • Coded diagnoses depend on endoscopy being done (surveillance bias)
  • Two-author study, abstract only
  • Short follow-up

8. Risk of bias

Orienting tool
ROBINS-E
Type of assessment
simplified assessment (abstract only)
Full formal assessment
no
Overall risk of bias
high
Rationale

Detection bias: sleeve patients are more likely to undergo endoscopy.

9. Assessment of the statistical interpretation

NNH ~500 (stats/I-BAR-115_butt_2026.py); RR cannot be reproduced exactly from rounded percentages.

10. Relevance to the specific claim

One of few comparisons with non-surgical patients; signals higher BE after sleeve but very small absolute numbers.

11. Independent contrary findings

Surveillance bias likely.

12. Transferability to Germany and Europe

US data.

13. Overall methodological judgement

Weak support for a relative BE increase; absolute risk small; no cancer difference.

Multidimensional assessment
Multidimensional assessment
Authenticity of the sourceverified
Methodological qualitylow
Risk of biashigh
Precision of resultslow
Directnessdirect
Reproducibilityunknown
Consistency with the overall evidencemixed
Regional transferabilitymoderate
Adequacy of the interpretation (by the archive)not applicable

14. Open questions

Endoscopy-controlled comparison.

15. Linked fact checks