Cohort studyindependent cross-checkabstract checked★ key study I-BAR-123 in-depth review
French study: broken bones after obesity surgery
Gastric Bypass But Not Sleeve Gastrectomy Increases Risk of Major Osteoporotic Fracture: French Population-Based Cohort Study.
Overview
Paccou et al.. J Bone Miner Res 2020 · PMID 32187759 · DOI 10.1002/jbmr.4012
Serious osteoporotic fractures increased after gastric bypass (about 70% more) but not after sleeve.
Does the study support the specific claim? Partly · Methodological quality: moderate
Plain-language summary
Study explained simply
- What did the researchers want to find out?
Fracture risk by operation
- How was the study done?
National cohort
- How many people, animals or samples were studied?
81,984
- What was actually found?
Bypass HR 1.70; sleeve not increased
- How large was the observed effect?
HR 1.22 overall
- What do the results mean in everyday life?
Bone risk depends on operation
- What are the study's limitations?
Administrative data
- What does it say about Elawady's specific claim?
Limits the claim for sleeve
- Do the results apply to Germany and Europe?
Directly European
- What can explicitly not be concluded from this study?
Very long-term risk
Scientific in-depth review
1. Full reference
- Authors
- Paccou et al.
- Journal
- J Bone Miner Res
- Year
- 2020
- Identifier
- PMID 32187759 DOI 10.1002/jbmr.4012
- Verification
- verified – PubMed efetch 2026-10-26 + Crossref API
- Retracted
- no
- Corrections
- none
- Extent checked
- abstract only
- Conflicts of interest and funding
not stated in abstract
2. Research question
Is the risk of major osteoporotic fracture increased after bariatric surgery, and does it differ by procedure?
3. Study design and population
- Study design
- Cohort study – French national inpatient database matched cohort (1:1)
- Population
Patients 40-65 y with BMI >=40, 2010-2014, and matched controls
- Country
France
- Period
2008-2018
- Sample size
81,984 (40,992 surgical, 40,992 controls)
- Inclusion and exclusion criteria
Matched on age, sex, Charlson index, year, obesity class
4. Methods and endpoints
- Exposure / intervention
Bariatric surgery by type
- Comparator
Matched obese controls
- Endpoints
Major osteoporotic fracture (hip, humerus, wrist/forearm, clinical spine)
- Statistical methods
Cox regression
5. Actual results
- Results
MOF 2.30 vs 1.93 per 1000 patient-years; HR 1.22 (1.08-1.39) for any surgery. Increased risk only after gastric bypass: HR 1.70 (1.46-1.98); not after sleeve gastrectomy or other procedures.
- Absolute risks
About 0.4 extra fractures per 1000 patient-years overall.
- Authors' conclusion
In patients aged 40-65, gastric bypass but not sleeve gastrectomy increased the risk of major osteoporotic fracture.
6. Strengths
- National, large, procedure-specific
7. Weaknesses
- Administrative data; inpatient-coded fractures
- Age 40-65 only
8. Risk of bias
- Orienting tool
- ROBINS-E
- Type of assessment
- simplified assessment (abstract only)
- Full formal assessment
- no
- Overall risk of bias
- some concerns
- Rationale
Residual confounding; fracture ascertainment via hospital data.
9. Assessment of the statistical interpretation
CI log-symmetric (stats/I-BAR-123_paccou_2020.py).
10. Relevance to the specific claim
Sleeve-specific fracture data: no increase, whereas bypass increased fractures.
11. Independent contrary findings
Follow-up limited; sleeve HR not in abstract.
12. Transferability to Germany and Europe
French data.
13. Overall methodological judgement
Supports procedure-dependence of fracture risk.
| Multidimensional assessment | |
|---|---|
| Authenticity of the source | verified |
| Methodological quality | moderate |
| Risk of bias | some concerns |
| Precision of results | moderate |
| Directness | direct |
| Reproducibility | partly replicated |
| Consistency with the overall evidence | consistent |
| Regional transferability | high |
| Adequacy of the interpretation (by the archive) | not applicable |
14. Open questions
Long-term sleeve fracture risk.
15. Linked fact checks
- Bariatric surgery causes measurable hip and spine bone loss (and fracture risk). – Studies contradicting or limiting the claim
- Gastric bypass is preferable to sleeve gastrectomy (less reflux) and can fully treat type 2 diabetes; for patients who fail dieting, bypass rather than sleeve should be chosen (2021 statement). – Studies contradicting or limiting the claim