Cohort studyindependent cross-checkabstract checked★ key study I-BAR-123 in-depth review

French study: broken bones after obesity surgery

Gastric Bypass But Not Sleeve Gastrectomy Increases Risk of Major Osteoporotic Fracture: French Population-Based Cohort Study.

Overview

Paccou et al.. J Bone Miner Res 2020 · PMID 32187759 · DOI 10.1002/jbmr.4012

Serious osteoporotic fractures increased after gastric bypass (about 70% more) but not after sleeve.

Does the study support the specific claim? Partly · Methodological quality: moderate

Original publication

Plain-language summary

Study explained simply
What did the researchers want to find out?

Fracture risk by operation

How was the study done?

National cohort

How many people, animals or samples were studied?

81,984

What was actually found?

Bypass HR 1.70; sleeve not increased

How large was the observed effect?

HR 1.22 overall

What do the results mean in everyday life?

Bone risk depends on operation

What are the study's limitations?

Administrative data

What does it say about Elawady's specific claim?

Limits the claim for sleeve

Do the results apply to Germany and Europe?

Directly European

What can explicitly not be concluded from this study?

Very long-term risk

Scientific in-depth review

1. Full reference

Authors
Paccou et al.
Journal
J Bone Miner Res
Year
2020
Identifier
PMID 32187759 DOI 10.1002/jbmr.4012
Verification
verified – PubMed efetch 2026-10-26 + Crossref API
Retracted
no
Corrections
none
Extent checked
abstract only
Conflicts of interest and funding

not stated in abstract

2. Research question

Is the risk of major osteoporotic fracture increased after bariatric surgery, and does it differ by procedure?

3. Study design and population

Study design
Cohort study – French national inpatient database matched cohort (1:1)
Population

Patients 40-65 y with BMI >=40, 2010-2014, and matched controls

Country

France

Period

2008-2018

Sample size

81,984 (40,992 surgical, 40,992 controls)

Inclusion and exclusion criteria

Matched on age, sex, Charlson index, year, obesity class

4. Methods and endpoints

Exposure / intervention

Bariatric surgery by type

Comparator

Matched obese controls

Endpoints

Major osteoporotic fracture (hip, humerus, wrist/forearm, clinical spine)

Statistical methods

Cox regression

5. Actual results

Results

MOF 2.30 vs 1.93 per 1000 patient-years; HR 1.22 (1.08-1.39) for any surgery. Increased risk only after gastric bypass: HR 1.70 (1.46-1.98); not after sleeve gastrectomy or other procedures.

Absolute risks

About 0.4 extra fractures per 1000 patient-years overall.

Authors' conclusion

In patients aged 40-65, gastric bypass but not sleeve gastrectomy increased the risk of major osteoporotic fracture.

6. Strengths

  • National, large, procedure-specific

7. Weaknesses

  • Administrative data; inpatient-coded fractures
  • Age 40-65 only

8. Risk of bias

Orienting tool
ROBINS-E
Type of assessment
simplified assessment (abstract only)
Full formal assessment
no
Overall risk of bias
some concerns
Rationale

Residual confounding; fracture ascertainment via hospital data.

9. Assessment of the statistical interpretation

CI log-symmetric (stats/I-BAR-123_paccou_2020.py).

10. Relevance to the specific claim

Sleeve-specific fracture data: no increase, whereas bypass increased fractures.

11. Independent contrary findings

Follow-up limited; sleeve HR not in abstract.

12. Transferability to Germany and Europe

French data.

13. Overall methodological judgement

Supports procedure-dependence of fracture risk.

Multidimensional assessment
Multidimensional assessment
Authenticity of the sourceverified
Methodological qualitymoderate
Risk of biassome concerns
Precision of resultsmoderate
Directnessdirect
Reproducibilitypartly replicated
Consistency with the overall evidenceconsistent
Regional transferabilityhigh
Adequacy of the interpretation (by the archive)not applicable

14. Open questions

Long-term sleeve fracture risk.

15. Linked fact checks