Meta-analysisindependent cross-checkabstract checked★ key study I-DIAB-112 in-depth review

Lowering blood pressure in type 2 diabetes

Blood pressure lowering in type 2 diabetes: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

Overview

Emdin CA et al.. JAMA 2015 · PMID 25668264 · DOI 10.1001/jama.2014.18574

In 40 trials with 100,354 people, each 10 mmHg lower systolic pressure reduced deaths by 13% and strokes by 27%.

Does the study support the specific claim? No · Methodological quality: high

Original publication

Plain-language summary

Study explained simply
What did the researchers want to find out?

Quantify benefits of BP lowering in T2D.

How was the study done?

Meta-analysis of 40 RCTs.

How many people, animals or samples were studied?

100,354 people.

What was actually found?

Death RR 0.87, stroke 0.73 per 10 mmHg.

How large was the observed effect?

ARR 3.16 deaths per 1000 patient-years.

What do the results mean in everyday life?

Measuring and treating blood pressure protects people with diabetes.

What are the study's limitations?

Fixed-effects model.

What does it say about Elawady's specific claim?

Contradicts 'no need to measure blood pressure'.

Do the results apply to Germany and Europe?

Applicable.

What can explicitly not be concluded from this study?

Cannot define the optimal BP target for every person.

Scientific in-depth review

1. Full reference

Authors
Emdin CA et al.
Journal
JAMA
Year
2015
Identifier
PMID 25668264 DOI 10.1001/jama.2014.18574
Verification
verified – PubMed efetch 2026-10-26; Crossref 2026-10-26
Retracted
no
Corrections
none
Extent checked
abstract only
Conflicts of interest and funding

Non-US government support (record).

2. Research question

What are the associations between BP lowering and vascular outcomes in T2D?

3. Study design and population

Study design
Meta-analysis – Systematic review and fixed-effects meta-analysis of large RCTs
Population

Participants with diabetes in BP-lowering RCTs

Country

Multinational

Period

1966-2014

Sample size

40 trials; 100,354 participants

Inclusion and exclusion criteria

Large RCTs, low risk of bias

4. Methods and endpoints

Exposure / intervention

BP-lowering treatment (per 10 mmHg systolic)

Comparator

Control/less intensive

Endpoints

Mortality, CV events, CHD, stroke, HF, retinopathy, albuminuria, renal failure

Statistical methods

Fixed-effects meta-analysis; stratified

5. Actual results

Results

Per 10 mmHg lower systolic BP: mortality RR 0.87 (0.78-0.96), ARR 3.16 per 1000 patient-years; CV events RR 0.89 (0.83-0.95); CHD 0.88 (0.80-0.98); stroke 0.73 (0.64-0.83); albuminuria 0.83 (0.79-0.87); retinopathy 0.87 (0.76-0.99). Larger benefits with baseline SBP >=140.

Absolute risks

Mortality ARR 3.16 per 1000 patient-years per 10 mmHg (reported)

Authors' conclusion

BP lowering is associated with improved mortality and clinical outcomes in T2D.

6. Strengths

  • Large RCT base
  • Low risk-of-bias trials
  • Absolute effects reported

7. Weaknesses

  • Fixed-effects model
  • Search to 2014

8. Risk of bias

Orienting tool
AMSTAR 2
Type of assessment
simplified assessment (abstract only)
Full formal assessment
no
Overall risk of bias
low
Rationale

High-quality meta-analysis.

9. Assessment of the statistical interpretation

Consistent RRs with absolute risk reductions.

10. Relevance to the specific claim

Treating raised BP in diabetes saves lives; this is impossible without measuring BP.

11. Independent contrary findings

12. Transferability to Germany and Europe

Directly applicable; same biology and clinical standards in Europe.

13. Overall methodological judgement

High-quality evidence for BP measurement and treatment.

Multidimensional assessment
Multidimensional assessment
Authenticity of the sourceverified
Methodological qualityhigh
Risk of biaslow
Precision of resultshigh
Directnessdirect
Reproducibilityreplicated
Consistency with the overall evidenceconsistent
Regional transferabilityhigh
Adequacy of the interpretation (by the archive)not applicable

14. Open questions

15. Linked fact checks