Meta-analysisindependent cross-checkabstract only checked★ key study I-GUT-07 in-depth review

Dietary fibre and health

Carbohydrate quality and human health: a series of systematic reviews and meta-analyses.

Overview

Reynolds A et al.. Lancet 2019 · PMID 30638909 · DOI 10.1016/S0140-6736(18)31809-9

People eating the most fibre had 15–30% lower risk of death and major chronic diseases.

Does the study support the specific claim? No · Methodological quality: high

Original publication

Plain-language summary

Study explained simply
What did the researchers want to find out?

Fibre and disease.

How was the study done?

Meta-analyses.

How many people, animals or samples were studied?

185 cohorts, 58 trials.

What was actually found?

Lower disease risk.

How large was the observed effect?

15–30%.

What do the results mean in everyday life?

Fibre is good for health.

What are the study's limitations?

Observational outcomes.

What does it say about Elawady's specific claim?

Contradicts C-GUT-05.

Do the results apply to Germany and Europe?

Applicable.

What can explicitly not be concluded from this study?

Effect in IBS.

Scientific in-depth review

1. Full reference

Authors
Reynolds A et al.
Journal
Lancet
Year
2019
Identifier
PMID 30638909 DOI 10.1016/S0140-6736(18)31809-9
Verification
verified – PubMed efetch 2026-10-25
Retracted
no
Corrections

ErratumIn: Lancet. 2019 Feb 2;393(10170):406. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(19)30119-9.

Extent checked
abstract only
Conflicts of interest and funding

not stated in abstract | Funding (abstract): Health Research Council of New Zealand, WHO, others

2. Research question

Carbohydrate quality (fibre, whole grains, GI) and non-communicable disease

3. Study design and population

Study design
Meta-analysis – Series of systematic reviews and meta-analyses of prospective studies and RCTs
Population

Adults without chronic disease

Country

Multinational

Period

to 2017/2018

Sample size

185 prospective studies (~135 million person-years); 58 trials (4,635)

Inclusion and exclusion criteria

Excluded chronic disease, weight-loss and supplement trials

4. Methods and endpoints

Exposure / intervention

Higher dietary fibre, whole grains

Comparator

Lower intake

Endpoints

Mortality, CHD, stroke, T2D, colorectal cancer, risk factors

Statistical methods

Random effects; GRADE

5. Actual results

Results

Highest vs lowest fibre: 15–30% lower all-cause and CV mortality, CHD, stroke, T2D, colorectal cancer; trials: lower weight, systolic BP, cholesterol; greatest benefit at 25–29 g/day.

Absolute risks

not reported in abstract

Authors' conclusion

Higher fibre and whole grain intakes; relationships could be causal; replace refined grains with whole grains.

6. Strengths

  • Large
  • Combines cohorts and trials
  • GRADE moderate for fibre

7. Weaknesses

  • Observational main outcomes
  • Erratum

8. Risk of bias

Orienting tool
AMSTAR 2
Type of assessment
simplified assessment (abstract only)
Full formal assessment
no
Overall risk of bias
low
Rationale

High-quality WHO-commissioned review.

9. Assessment of the statistical interpretation

Dose-response.

10. Relevance to the specific claim

C-GUT-05.

11. Independent contrary findings

12. Transferability to Germany and Europe

High.

13. Overall methodological judgement

Strong evidence that fermentable fibre is beneficial.

Multidimensional assessment
Multidimensional assessment
Authenticity of the sourceverified
Methodological qualityhigh
Risk of biaslow
Precision of resultshigh
Directnessdirect
Reproducibilityreplicated
Consistency with the overall evidenceconsistent
Regional transferabilityhigh
Adequacy of the interpretation (by the archive)not applicable

14. Open questions

15. Linked fact checks