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Legumes and type 2 diabetes in 27 cohorts

Associations of Total Legume, Pulse, and Soy Consumption with Incident Type 2 Diabetes: Federated Meta-Analysis of 27 Studies from Diverse World Regions.

Overview

Pearce M et al.. J Nutr 2021 · PMID 33693815 · DOI 10.1093/jn/nxaa447

Overall, legume intake showed a very weak positive link with diabetes, seen only in some European cohorts; pulses were not linked.

Does the study support the specific claim? Partly · Methodological quality: high

Original publication

Plain-language summary

Study explained simply
What did the researchers want to find out?

Pool individual data on legumes and diabetes.

How was the study done?

Federated meta-analysis.

How many people, animals or samples were studied?

807,785 adults, 27 cohorts.

What was actually found?

IRR 1.02 per 20 g/d; Europe 1.05.

How large was the observed effect?

Small.

What do the results mean in everyday life?

Legumes do not clearly protect against diabetes, but the evidence does not show meaningful harm either.

What are the study's limitations?

Dietary measurement error; confounding.

What does it say about Elawady's specific claim?

Tempers claims of benefit; does not support a ban.

Do the results apply to Germany and Europe?

Relevant to Europe.

What can explicitly not be concluded from this study?

It cannot show cause and effect.

Scientific in-depth review

1. Full reference

Authors
Pearce M et al.
Journal
J Nutr
Year
2021
Identifier
PMID 33693815 DOI 10.1093/jn/nxaa447 · PMC8112771
Verification
verified – PubMed efetch 2026-10-26 + Crossref works API
Retracted
no
Corrections
none
Extent checked
full text
Conflicts of interest and funding

EU FP7 (InterConnect) and national research councils (full text).

2. Research question

Are total legume, pulse and soy intakes associated with incident T2D across world regions?

3. Study design and population

Study design
Meta-analysis – Federated individual-participant meta-analysis of 27 prospective cohorts (InterConnect)
Population

807,785 adults without diabetes in the Americas, Eastern Mediterranean (Golestan, Iran), Europe and Western Pacific

Country

Multinational

Period

Cohort follow-up periods varied

Sample size

807,785 participants; up to 42,473 incident cases

Inclusion and exclusion criteria

Cohorts with legume intake and T2D data whose investigators agreed to participate.

4. Methods and endpoints

Exposure / intervention

Legume, pulse, soy intake (per 20 g/d)

Comparator

Lower intake

Endpoints

Incident T2D

Statistical methods

Harmonised Poisson/Cox models; random-effects meta-analysis

5. Actual results

Results

Total legumes IRR 1.02 (95% CI 1.01-1.04) per 20 g/d, I2 74%; Americas 1.01 (0.99-1.02); Eastern Mediterranean 1.07 (0.98-1.18; single Iranian cohort); Western Pacific 1.00; Europe 1.05 (1.01-1.10), driven by Germany, UK and Sweden. No association for pulses or soy.

Absolute risks

Not reported

Authors' conclusion

No evidence of association in several regions; the European positive association may reflect the dietary context in which legumes are eaten.

6. Strengths

  • Individual-participant data
  • 26 of 27 cohorts unpublished on this question (less publication bias)
  • Full text read

7. Weaknesses

  • Heterogeneous FFQs and portion assumptions
  • Residual confounding
  • Only one Eastern Mediterranean cohort

8. Risk of bias

Orienting tool
ROBINS-E
Type of assessment
simplified assessment (abstract only)
Full formal assessment
no
Overall risk of bias
some concerns
Rationale

Observational; measurement error; region-specific confounding.

9. Assessment of the statistical interpretation

Very small effect; extrapolated to 100 g/d the overall IRR would be about 1.10 (stats/C-LEG-13_legume_meta_ci.py), driven by Europe; pulses (the Egyptian type of legume) showed no association.

10. Relevance to the specific claim

Honest counterweight: does not support a protective effect on diabetes and shows a weak positive association in some European cohorts; but pulses showed no association and there is no signal of substantial harm.

11. Independent contrary findings

I-LEG-113 (RCTs: pulses improve glycaemic control), I-LEG-111.

12. Transferability to Germany and Europe

European subgroup directly relevant; mechanism unclear.

13. Overall methodological judgement

Best evidence against a diabetes benefit; does not establish harm.

Multidimensional assessment
Multidimensional assessment
Authenticity of the sourceverified
Methodological qualityhigh
Risk of biassome concerns
Precision of resultshigh
Directnessdirect
Reproducibilitypartly replicated
Consistency with the overall evidencemixed
Regional transferabilitymoderate
Adequacy of the interpretation (by the archive)not applicable

14. Open questions

Why European cohorts differ (foods eaten with legumes, e.g. processed meat, baked beans).

15. Linked fact checks