Guideline / position statementindependent cross-checkfull text checked★ key study I-ODD-120 in-depth review

EU regulator: optic nerve stroke is a very rare semaglutide side effect

PRAC concludes eye condition NAION is a very rare side effect of semaglutide medicines Ozempic, Rybelsus and Wegovy (EMA news, 6 June 2025)

Overview

European Medicines Agency (PRAC). EMA website 2025

About 1 extra case per 10,000 person-years; product information updated.

Does the study support the specific claim? Partly · Methodological quality: moderate

Original publication

Plain-language summary

Study explained simply
What did the researchers want to find out?

Assess NAION with semaglutide.

How was the study done?

Regulatory review of all data.

How many people, animals or samples were studied?

Not applicable.

What was actually found?

Very rare side effect, about two-fold relative risk.

How large was the observed effect?

About +1 per 10,000 person-years.

What do the results mean in everyday life?

Seek urgent care for sudden vision loss; the risk is very low.

What are the study's limitations?

Summary statement.

What does it say about Elawady's specific claim?

Supports a real association with very low absolute risk.

Do the results apply to Germany and Europe?

Direct.

What can explicitly not be concluded from this study?

Mechanism.

Scientific in-depth review

1. Full reference

Authors
European Medicines Agency (PRAC)
Journal
EMA website
Year
2025
Identifier
Verification
verified – Web page fetched 2026-10-26
Retracted
no
Corrections

Announcement revised 13 June 2025 to delete a reference to a European Commission legally binding decision

Extent checked
full text
Conflicts of interest and funding

Regulatory agency.

2. Research question

Is NAION a side effect of semaglutide?

3. Study design and population

Study design
Guideline / position statement – Regulatory safety review (PRAC) of non-clinical, clinical-trial, post-marketing and literature data
Population

Users of semaglutide (Ozempic, Rybelsus, Wegovy)

Country

EU

Period

Review concluded June 2025

Sample size

Not applicable

Inclusion and exclusion criteria

Not applicable

4. Methods and endpoints

Exposure / intervention

Semaglutide

Comparator

Non-users

Endpoints

NAION

Statistical methods

Not applicable

5. Actual results

Results

NAION is a very rare side effect of semaglutide (up to 1 in 10,000 people). Several large epidemiological studies suggest about a two-fold increase in type 2 diabetes, about one additional case per 10,000 person-years; clinical trials point to a slightly higher risk. Product information updated; stop semaglutide if NAION is confirmed.

Absolute risks

About 1 additional case per 10,000 person-years.

Authors' conclusion

NAION added to product information as a very rare side effect.

6. Strengths

  • Comprehensive regulatory data access

7. Weaknesses

  • Not a peer-reviewed analysis; methods summarised only

8. Risk of bias

Orienting tool
none applicable
Type of assessment
simplified assessment (abstract only)
Full formal assessment
no
Overall risk of bias
not assessable
Rationale

Regulatory statement.

9. Assessment of the statistical interpretation

Consistent with Simonsen 2025 absolute excess (stats/C-ODD-10.py).

10. Relevance to the specific claim

Authoritative EU position: the association is accepted as a very rare side effect, which supports the existence of the risk but contradicts 'markedly higher' in absolute terms.

11. Independent contrary findings

RCT meta-analyses not significant (I-ODD-119).

12. Transferability to Germany and Europe

Direct (EU).

13. Overall methodological judgement

Accepts a causal-enough signal for labelling; absolute risk very low.

Multidimensional assessment
Multidimensional assessment
Authenticity of the sourceverified
Methodological qualitymoderate
Risk of biasnot assessable
Precision of resultsnot applicable
Directnessdirect
Reproducibilitynot replicated
Consistency with the overall evidenceconsistent
Regional transferabilityhigh
Adequacy of the interpretation (by the archive)not applicable

14. Open questions

Mechanism.

15. Linked fact checks