Meta-analysisindependent cross-checkabstract checked★ key study I-SRC-101 in-depth review

Stopping steroids after a kidney transplant while other anti-rejection drugs continue

Steroid avoidance or withdrawal for kidney transplant recipients.

Overview

Oliveras L et al.. Cochrane Database Syst Rev 2026 · PMID 42187003 · DOI 10.1002/14651858.CD005632.pub4

Across 53 trials, stopping or avoiding steroids did not clearly change graft loss in the first year; avoiding steroids slightly raised acute rejection in some regimens.

Does the study support the specific claim? Partly · Methodological quality: high

Original publication

Plain-language summary

Study explained simply
What did the researchers want to find out?

Find out whether steroids can be left out after a kidney transplant

How was the study done?

Cochrane review of randomised trials

How many people, animals or samples were studied?

53 trials, 8317 recipients

What was actually found?

Similar short-term graft survival; more acute rejection with steroid avoidance unless combined with modern drugs; less post-transplant diabetes

How large was the observed effect?

BPAR RR 1.58 (avoidance); graft loss RR 1.19 (withdrawal, CI 0.72-1.96)

What do the results mean in everyday life?

Doctors can sometimes stop cortisone, but only while other anti-rejection drugs continue

What are the study's limitations?

Low certainty; mostly unblinded trials

What does it say about Elawady's specific claim?

Supports only steroid withdrawal under specialist care, not stopping all drugs

Do the results apply to Germany and Europe?

High

What can explicitly not be concluded from this study?

Whether stopping all anti-rejection drugs is safe (not studied)

Scientific in-depth review

1. Full reference

Authors
Oliveras L et al.
Journal
Cochrane Database Syst Rev
Year
2026
Identifier
PMID 42187003 DOI 10.1002/14651858.CD005632.pub4
Verification
verified – PubMed efetch 2026-10-26; Crossref works record checked
Retracted
no
Corrections

Update of earlier version: doi: 10.1002/14651858.CD005632.pub3

Extent checked
abstract only
Conflicts of interest and funding

Funding: Rio Hortega predoctoral fellowship (Instituto de Salud Carlos III) for the first author. One author (JP) declared speaker fees from several pharmaceutical companies and authored included trials but did not take part in eligibility, extraction, risk-of-bias or GRADE decisions for them.

2. Research question

What are the benefits and harms of steroid avoidance or withdrawal in kidney-transplant recipients?

3. Study design and population

Study design
Meta-analysis – Cochrane systematic review and meta-analysis of randomised and quasi-randomised trials (update; GRADE)
Population

Kidney-transplant recipients (adults; three trials in children)

Country

International

Period

Searches to 29 April 2025

Sample size

53 studies, 8317 randomised recipients

Inclusion and exclusion criteria

RCTs and quasi-RCTs of steroid avoidance or withdrawal versus steroid maintenance

4. Methods and endpoints

Exposure / intervention

Steroid avoidance (no steroids after the first days) or steroid withdrawal (stopping later) while other immunosuppressants continue

Comparator

Steroid maintenance

Endpoints

Death, graft loss, biopsy-proven acute rejection (BPAR), post-transplant diabetes, infection, cardiovascular events

Statistical methods

Random-effects meta-analysis, risk ratios with 95% CI; RoB 1; GRADE

5. Actual results

Results

Steroid avoidance vs maintenance: BPAR up to 1 year RR 1.58 (1.11-2.25; low certainty); death 1-5 years RR 0.61 (0.39-0.96; low); graft loss up to 1 year RR 0.95 (0.62-1.46; moderate); post-transplant diabetes RR 0.70 (0.59-0.84; low). Steroid withdrawal vs maintenance: death up to 1 year RR 0.69 (0.35-1.37; low); graft loss up to 1 year RR 1.19 (0.72-1.96; moderate); BPAR up to 1 year RR 1.41 (0.89-2.23; low); post-transplant diabetes RR 0.82 (0.55-1.21; moderate).

Absolute risks

Not reported in the abstract.

Authors' conclusion

No evidence of a difference in death or graft loss up to one year with steroid avoidance or withdrawal; avoidance may increase acute rejection unless combined with tacrolimus, an antimetabolite and induction therapy; avoidance may reduce post-transplant diabetes.

6. Strengths

  • Cochrane methods, 53 RCTs, GRADE
  • Most recent synthesis (2026 update)

7. Weaknesses

  • Overall certainty low (risk of bias, imprecision)
  • Only 5 of 53 studies blinded
  • All regimens continued other immunosuppressants; complete withdrawal of all drugs was not studied

8. Risk of bias

Orienting tool
AMSTAR 2
Type of assessment
simplified assessment (abstract only)
Full formal assessment
no
Overall risk of bias
low
Rationale

Well-conducted Cochrane review; the underlying trials have mostly unclear or high risk of bias.

9. Assessment of the statistical interpretation

Ratio CIs are log-symmetric (checked in stats/C-SRC-46_transplant.py). The withdrawal comparisons have wide CIs that include clinically important harm (graft loss RR up to 1.96).

10. Relevance to the specific claim

Shows that the only well-studied form of 'stopping' in kidney transplantation is stopping or avoiding steroids while tacrolimus/ciclosporin and mycophenolate are continued. It does not support stopping all immunosuppression.

11. Independent contrary findings

CTOT-09 (I-SRC-102) shows that stopping the calcineurin inhibitor leads to rejection and donor-specific antibodies.

12. Transferability to Germany and Europe

Directly applicable; European centres use steroid-sparing regimens in selected patients.

13. Overall methodological judgement

High-quality synthesis supporting a narrow part of the claim (steroids can be stopped in selected patients under supervision) and not the claim as stated (all drugs stopped).

Multidimensional assessment
Multidimensional assessment
Authenticity of the sourceverified
Methodological qualityhigh
Risk of biaslow
Precision of resultsmoderate
Directnessindirect
Reproducibilityreplicated
Consistency with the overall evidenceconsistent
Regional transferabilityhigh
Adequacy of the interpretation (by the archive)not applicable

14. Open questions

Long-term graft survival beyond 5 years with steroid-free regimens.

15. Linked fact checks