Cohort studycited by the Tayebat archiveabstract only checked A-INS-11 standard review
Diabetes drugs and cancer deaths in Canada
Increased cancer-related mortality for patients with type 2 diabetes who use sulfonylureas or insulin.
Overview
Bowker SL et al.. Diabetes Care 2006 · PMID 16443869 · DOI 10.2337/diacare.29.02.06.dc05-1558
Insulin users had more cancer deaths than metformin users, possibly due to other differences.
Does the study support the specific claim? Partly · Methodological quality: low
Plain-language summary
Study explained simply
- What did the researchers want to find out?
Antidiabetic therapy and cancer mortality
- How was the study done?
Population-based cohort (Saskatchewan Health)
- How many people, animals or samples were studied?
10,309; New users of metformin or sulfonylureas
- What was actually found?
aHR 1.9 for insulin.
- How large was the observed effect?
aHR 1.9 (1.5-2.4)
- What do the results mean in everyday life?
Association, cause unknown.
- What are the study's limitations?
No BMI/smoking; Confounding
- What does it say about Elawady's specific claim?
- Do the results apply to Germany and Europe?
Canadian data.
- What can explicitly not be concluded from this study?
Causation.
Scientific in-depth review
1. Full reference
- Authors
- Bowker SL, Majumdar SR, Veugelers P, Johnson JA
- Journal
- Diabetes Care
- Year
- 2006
- Identifier
- PMID 16443869 DOI 10.2337/diacare.29.02.06.dc05-1558
- Verification
- verified – PubMed E-utilities efetch, 2026-10-25
- Retracted
- no
- Corrections
- none
- Extent checked
- abstract only
- Conflicts of interest and funding
not stated in abstract
2. Research question
Antidiabetic therapy and cancer mortality
3. Study design and population
- Study design
- Cohort study – Population-based cohort (Saskatchewan Health)
- Population
New users of metformin or sulfonylureas
- Country
Canada
- Period
1991-1996, follow-up to 1999
- Sample size
10,309
- Inclusion and exclusion criteria
As described in the abstract; details not available in abstract.
4. Methods and endpoints
- Exposure / intervention
Sulfonylurea monotherapy; insulin use
- Comparator
Metformin
- Endpoints
Cancer mortality
- Statistical methods
Multivariate Cox
5. Actual results
- Results
Cancer mortality 4.9% SU, 3.5% metformin, 5.8% insulin users. SU vs metformin aHR 1.3 (1.1-1.6); insulin aHR 1.9 (1.5-2.4).
- Absolute risks
not reported
- Authors' conclusion
Increased cancer mortality with sulfonylureas and insulin vs metformin; uncertain whether harm, metformin protection, or unmeasured factors.
6. Strengths
- Population data
7. Weaknesses
- No BMI/smoking
- Confounding
8. Risk of bias
- Orienting tool
- ROBINS-E
- Type of assessment
- simplified assessment (abstract only)
- Full formal assessment
- no
- Overall risk of bias
- high
- Rationale
Missing key confounders.
9. Assessment of the statistical interpretation
Association only.
10. Relevance to the specific claim
Association for C-INS-05; C-ODD-11.
11. Independent contrary findings
12. Transferability to Germany and Europe
Canadian data.
13. Overall methodological judgement
Hypothesis-generating.
| Multidimensional assessment | |
|---|---|
| Authenticity of the source | verified |
| Methodological quality | low |
| Risk of bias | high |
| Precision of results | moderate |
| Directness | direct |
| Reproducibility | partly replicated |
| Consistency with the overall evidence | inconsistent |
| Regional transferability | moderate |
| Adequacy of the interpretation (by the archive) | partly correct but over-interpreted |
14. Open questions
None beyond those stated.
15. Linked fact checks
Use by the Tayebat archive
Note: according to the archive, the studies were compiled by the archive operators. Whether Dr. Elawady himself cited this study is not established.
- What the archive says about the study
Listed in the archive bibliography for 'insulin-injections' without its own interpretation; used as general support for the claim that insulin intensification harms.
- A. What was actually studied?
Antidiabetic therapy and cancer mortality
- B. What did the authors find?
aHR 1.9 for insulin.
- C. What conclusions do the authors themselves draw?
Increased cancer mortality with sulfonylureas and insulin vs metformin; uncertain whether harm, metformin protection, or unmeasured factors.
- D. What does the archive derive from it?
Support for insulin-cancer link.
- E. Is this derivation scientifically justified?
Not as causal evidence; authors list alternative explanations.
- Adequacy of the interpretation (by the archive)
- partly correct but over-interpreted