Randomised controlled trialcited by the Tayebat archiveabstract only checked A-ODD-13 standard review
Canagliflozin and fractures
Effects of Canagliflozin on Fracture Risk in Patients With Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus.
Overview
Watts NB et al.. J Clin Endocrinol Metab 2016 · PMID 26580237 · DOI 10.1210/jc.2015-3167
More fractures in one trial with older high-risk patients, not in others.
Does the study support the specific claim? Partly · Methodological quality: moderate
Plain-language summary
Study explained simply
- What did the researchers want to find out?
Canagliflozin and fracture risk
- How was the study done?
Pooled analysis of 9 phase 3 RCTs incl. CANVAS
- How many people, animals or samples were studied?
10,194; Type 2 diabetes
- What was actually found?
4.0 vs 2.6% in CANVAS.
- How large was the observed effect?
+1.4 pp in CANVAS
- What do the results mean in everyday life?
Fall prevention in frail patients.
- What are the study's limitations?
Pooled post-hoc
- What does it say about Elawady's specific claim?
Supports C-ODD-05 (signal).
- Do the results apply to Germany and Europe?
Multinational/US/UK data; transferable to EU practice.
- What can explicitly not be concluded from this study?
Class effect.
Scientific in-depth review
1. Full reference
- Authors
- Watts NB, Bilezikian JP, Usiskin K, Edwards R, Desai M, Law G, Meininger G
- Journal
- J Clin Endocrinol Metab
- Year
- 2016
- Identifier
- PMID 26580237 DOI 10.1210/jc.2015-3167 · PMC4701850
- Verification
- verified – PubMed E-utilities efetch, 2026-10-25
- Retracted
- no
- Corrections
- none
- Extent checked
- abstract only
- Conflicts of interest and funding
Janssen-sponsored (grant listed NCI).
2. Research question
Canagliflozin and fracture risk
3. Study design and population
- Study design
- Randomised controlled trial – Pooled analysis of 9 phase 3 RCTs incl. CANVAS
- Population
Type 2 diabetes
- Country
International
- Period
Trial periods
- Sample size
10,194
- Inclusion and exclusion criteria
As described in the abstract; details not available in abstract.
4. Methods and endpoints
- Exposure / intervention
Canagliflozin 100/300 mg
- Comparator
Non-canagliflozin
- Endpoints
Adjudicated fractures, falls, volume depletion
- Statistical methods
Incidence comparison
5. Actual results
- Results
Non-CANVAS 1.7% vs 1.5%; CANVAS 4.0% vs 2.6% (significant); overall 2.7% vs 1.9%.
- Absolute risks
not reported
- Authors' conclusion
Fracture risk increased, driven by CANVAS (older, CVD, lower eGFR, diuretics); possibly mediated by falls; cause unknown.
6. Strengths
- Adjudicated
7. Weaknesses
- Pooled post-hoc
8. Risk of bias
- Orienting tool
- RoB 2
- Type of assessment
- simplified assessment (abstract only)
- Full formal assessment
- no
- Overall risk of bias
- some concerns
- Rationale
Pooled analysis.
9. Assessment of the statistical interpretation
Signal confined to one trial.
10. Relevance to the specific claim
Supports C-ODD-05 (signal).
11. Independent contrary findings
12. Transferability to Germany and Europe
Multinational/US/UK data; transferable to EU practice.
13. Overall methodological judgement
Inconsistent signal.
| Multidimensional assessment | |
|---|---|
| Authenticity of the source | verified |
| Methodological quality | moderate |
| Risk of bias | some concerns |
| Precision of results | moderate |
| Directness | direct |
| Reproducibility | not replicated |
| Consistency with the overall evidence | inconsistent |
| Regional transferability | high |
| Adequacy of the interpretation (by the archive) | not applicable |
14. Open questions
None beyond those stated.
15. Linked fact checks
Use by the Tayebat archive
Note: according to the archive, the studies were compiled by the archive operators. Whether Dr. Elawady himself cited this study is not established.
- What the archive says about the study
Listed in the archive bibliography for 'oral-diabetes-drugs' without its own interpretation; used as support for the claim that every drug class carries documented harm.
- A. What was actually studied?
Canagliflozin and fracture risk
- B. What did the authors find?
4.0 vs 2.6% in CANVAS.
- C. What conclusions do the authors themselves draw?
Fracture risk increased, driven by CANVAS (older, CVD, lower eGFR, diuretics); possibly mediated by falls; cause unknown.
- D. What does the archive derive from it?
Support for SGLT2 harm.
- E. Is this derivation scientifically justified?
Partly; CREDENCE found no fracture difference (I-ODD-05).
- Adequacy of the interpretation (by the archive)
- not applicable