Randomised controlled trialcited by the Tayebat archiveabstract only checked A-ODD-13 standard review

Canagliflozin and fractures

Effects of Canagliflozin on Fracture Risk in Patients With Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus.

Overview

Watts NB et al.. J Clin Endocrinol Metab 2016 · PMID 26580237 · DOI 10.1210/jc.2015-3167

More fractures in one trial with older high-risk patients, not in others.

Does the study support the specific claim? Partly · Methodological quality: moderate

Original publication

Plain-language summary

Study explained simply
What did the researchers want to find out?

Canagliflozin and fracture risk

How was the study done?

Pooled analysis of 9 phase 3 RCTs incl. CANVAS

How many people, animals or samples were studied?

10,194; Type 2 diabetes

What was actually found?

4.0 vs 2.6% in CANVAS.

How large was the observed effect?

+1.4 pp in CANVAS

What do the results mean in everyday life?

Fall prevention in frail patients.

What are the study's limitations?

Pooled post-hoc

What does it say about Elawady's specific claim?

Supports C-ODD-05 (signal).

Do the results apply to Germany and Europe?

Multinational/US/UK data; transferable to EU practice.

What can explicitly not be concluded from this study?

Class effect.

Scientific in-depth review

1. Full reference

Authors
Watts NB, Bilezikian JP, Usiskin K, Edwards R, Desai M, Law G, Meininger G
Journal
J Clin Endocrinol Metab
Year
2016
Identifier
PMID 26580237 DOI 10.1210/jc.2015-3167 · PMC4701850
Verification
verified – PubMed E-utilities efetch, 2026-10-25
Retracted
no
Corrections
none
Extent checked
abstract only
Conflicts of interest and funding

Janssen-sponsored (grant listed NCI).

2. Research question

Canagliflozin and fracture risk

3. Study design and population

Study design
Randomised controlled trial – Pooled analysis of 9 phase 3 RCTs incl. CANVAS
Population

Type 2 diabetes

Country

International

Period

Trial periods

Sample size

10,194

Inclusion and exclusion criteria

As described in the abstract; details not available in abstract.

4. Methods and endpoints

Exposure / intervention

Canagliflozin 100/300 mg

Comparator

Non-canagliflozin

Endpoints

Adjudicated fractures, falls, volume depletion

Statistical methods

Incidence comparison

5. Actual results

Results

Non-CANVAS 1.7% vs 1.5%; CANVAS 4.0% vs 2.6% (significant); overall 2.7% vs 1.9%.

Absolute risks

not reported

Authors' conclusion

Fracture risk increased, driven by CANVAS (older, CVD, lower eGFR, diuretics); possibly mediated by falls; cause unknown.

6. Strengths

  • Adjudicated

7. Weaknesses

  • Pooled post-hoc

8. Risk of bias

Orienting tool
RoB 2
Type of assessment
simplified assessment (abstract only)
Full formal assessment
no
Overall risk of bias
some concerns
Rationale

Pooled analysis.

9. Assessment of the statistical interpretation

Signal confined to one trial.

10. Relevance to the specific claim

Supports C-ODD-05 (signal).

11. Independent contrary findings

I-ODD-05.

12. Transferability to Germany and Europe

Multinational/US/UK data; transferable to EU practice.

13. Overall methodological judgement

Inconsistent signal.

Multidimensional assessment
Multidimensional assessment
Authenticity of the sourceverified
Methodological qualitymoderate
Risk of biassome concerns
Precision of resultsmoderate
Directnessdirect
Reproducibilitynot replicated
Consistency with the overall evidenceinconsistent
Regional transferabilityhigh
Adequacy of the interpretation (by the archive)not applicable

14. Open questions

None beyond those stated.

15. Linked fact checks

Use by the Tayebat archive

Note: according to the archive, the studies were compiled by the archive operators. Whether Dr. Elawady himself cited this study is not established.

What the archive says about the study

Listed in the archive bibliography for 'oral-diabetes-drugs' without its own interpretation; used as support for the claim that every drug class carries documented harm.

A. What was actually studied?

Canagliflozin and fracture risk

B. What did the authors find?

4.0 vs 2.6% in CANVAS.

C. What conclusions do the authors themselves draw?

Fracture risk increased, driven by CANVAS (older, CVD, lower eGFR, diuretics); possibly mediated by falls; cause unknown.

D. What does the archive derive from it?

Support for SGLT2 harm.

E. Is this derivation scientifically justified?

Partly; CREDENCE found no fracture difference (I-ODD-05).

Adequacy of the interpretation (by the archive)
not applicable