Randomised controlled trialcited by the Tayebat archiveabstract only checked★ key study A-SUP-04 in-depth review
CARET: beta-carotene and vitamin A raised lung cancer in smokers
Effects of a combination of beta carotene and vitamin A on lung cancer and cardiovascular disease.
Overview
Omenn GS et al.. N Engl J Med 1996 · PMID 8602180 · DOI 10.1056/NEJM199605023341802
Lung cancer was 28% more frequent with the supplements; the trial was stopped early.
Does the study support the specific claim? Yes · Methodological quality: high
Plain-language summary
Study explained simply
- What did the researchers want to find out?
Prevent lung cancer?
- How was the study done?
RCT.
- How many people, animals or samples were studied?
18,314 high-risk adults.
- What was actually found?
More lung cancer, more deaths.
- How large was the observed effect?
RR 1.28; 1.17.
- What do the results mean in everyday life?
Smokers should avoid beta-carotene pills.
- What are the study's limitations?
Early stopping.
- What does it say about Elawady's specific claim?
Supports.
- Do the results apply to Germany and Europe?
Applicable.
- What can explicitly not be concluded from this study?
Effect in non-smokers.
Scientific in-depth review
1. Full reference
- Authors
- Omenn GS, Goodman GE, Thornquist MD, Balmes J, Cullen MR, Glass A, Keogh JP, Meyskens FL, Valanis B, Williams JH, Barnhart S, Hammar S
- Journal
- N Engl J Med
- Year
- 1996
- Identifier
- PMID 8602180 DOI 10.1056/NEJM199605023341802
- Verification
- verified – PubMed E-utilities efetch, 2026-10-25
- Retracted
- no
- Corrections
- none
- Extent checked
- abstract only
- Conflicts of interest and funding
not stated in abstract; grants: NCI NIH HHS
2. Research question
Do beta-carotene and retinol prevent lung cancer and CVD?
3. Study design and population
- Study design
- Randomised controlled trial – Multicentre, randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled primary prevention trial (CARET)
- Population
Smokers, former smokers, asbestos-exposed workers
- Country
USA
- Period
mean 4.0 years; stopped 21 months early
- Sample size
18,314
- Inclusion and exclusion criteria
see abstract
4. Methods and endpoints
- Exposure / intervention
30 mg beta-carotene + 25,000 IU retinyl palmitate daily
- Comparator
Placebo
- Endpoints
Lung cancer incidence; mortality
- Statistical methods
RR with 95% CI
5. Actual results
- Results
Lung cancer RR 1.28 (1.04–1.57), P=0.02; death any cause RR 1.17 (1.03–1.33); lung cancer death RR 1.46 (1.07–2.00); CVD death RR 1.26 (0.99–1.61).
- Absolute risks
not reported in abstract
- Authors' conclusion
No benefit; may have had an adverse effect on lung cancer and on death from lung cancer, CVD and any cause.
6. Strengths
- Large RCT
- Hard end points
7. Weaknesses
- Early stopping can exaggerate effects
- High-risk population only
8. Risk of bias
- Orienting tool
- RoB 2
- Type of assessment
- simplified assessment (abstract only)
- Full formal assessment
- no
- Overall risk of bias
- low
- Rationale
Simplified RoB 2: randomised, double-blind.
9. Assessment of the statistical interpretation
See results.
10. Relevance to the specific claim
11. Independent contrary findings
None contradicting.
12. Transferability to Germany and Europe
High: biology and trial populations comparable to European adults.
13. Overall methodological judgement
Strong evidence of harm in high-risk smokers.
| Multidimensional assessment | |
|---|---|
| Authenticity of the source | verified |
| Methodological quality | high |
| Risk of bias | low |
| Precision of results | moderate |
| Directness | direct |
| Reproducibility | replicated |
| Consistency with the overall evidence | consistent |
| Regional transferability | high |
| Adequacy of the interpretation (by the archive) | correctly reported |
14. Open questions
15. Linked fact checks
Use by the Tayebat archive
Note: according to the archive, the studies were compiled by the archive operators. Whether Dr. Elawady himself cited this study is not established.
- What the archive says about the study
CARET stopped early after beta carotene plus vitamin A raised lung cancer (RR 1.28) and lung-cancer death (RR 1.46) in smokers.
- A. What was actually studied?
Beta-carotene + retinol vs placebo.
- B. What did the authors find?
RR 1.28 lung cancer; RR 1.17 all-cause death.
- C. What conclusions do the authors themselves draw?
No benefit; possible harm.
- D. What does the archive derive from it?
Used as evidence of harm.
- E. Is this derivation scientifically justified?
Yes; correct.
- Adequacy of the interpretation (by the archive)
- correctly reported