Randomised controlled trialcited by the Tayebat archiveabstract only checked★ key study A-SUP-04 in-depth review

CARET: beta-carotene and vitamin A raised lung cancer in smokers

Effects of a combination of beta carotene and vitamin A on lung cancer and cardiovascular disease.

Overview

Omenn GS et al.. N Engl J Med 1996 · PMID 8602180 · DOI 10.1056/NEJM199605023341802

Lung cancer was 28% more frequent with the supplements; the trial was stopped early.

Does the study support the specific claim? Yes · Methodological quality: high

Original publication

Plain-language summary

Study explained simply
What did the researchers want to find out?

Prevent lung cancer?

How was the study done?

RCT.

How many people, animals or samples were studied?

18,314 high-risk adults.

What was actually found?

More lung cancer, more deaths.

How large was the observed effect?

RR 1.28; 1.17.

What do the results mean in everyday life?

Smokers should avoid beta-carotene pills.

What are the study's limitations?

Early stopping.

What does it say about Elawady's specific claim?

Supports.

Do the results apply to Germany and Europe?

Applicable.

What can explicitly not be concluded from this study?

Effect in non-smokers.

Scientific in-depth review

1. Full reference

Authors
Omenn GS, Goodman GE, Thornquist MD, Balmes J, Cullen MR, Glass A, Keogh JP, Meyskens FL, Valanis B, Williams JH, Barnhart S, Hammar S
Journal
N Engl J Med
Year
1996
Identifier
PMID 8602180 DOI 10.1056/NEJM199605023341802
Verification
verified – PubMed E-utilities efetch, 2026-10-25
Retracted
no
Corrections
none
Extent checked
abstract only
Conflicts of interest and funding

not stated in abstract; grants: NCI NIH HHS

2. Research question

Do beta-carotene and retinol prevent lung cancer and CVD?

3. Study design and population

Study design
Randomised controlled trial – Multicentre, randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled primary prevention trial (CARET)
Population

Smokers, former smokers, asbestos-exposed workers

Country

USA

Period

mean 4.0 years; stopped 21 months early

Sample size

18,314

Inclusion and exclusion criteria

see abstract

4. Methods and endpoints

Exposure / intervention

30 mg beta-carotene + 25,000 IU retinyl palmitate daily

Comparator

Placebo

Endpoints

Lung cancer incidence; mortality

Statistical methods

RR with 95% CI

5. Actual results

Results

Lung cancer RR 1.28 (1.04–1.57), P=0.02; death any cause RR 1.17 (1.03–1.33); lung cancer death RR 1.46 (1.07–2.00); CVD death RR 1.26 (0.99–1.61).

Absolute risks

not reported in abstract

Authors' conclusion

No benefit; may have had an adverse effect on lung cancer and on death from lung cancer, CVD and any cause.

6. Strengths

  • Large RCT
  • Hard end points

7. Weaknesses

  • Early stopping can exaggerate effects
  • High-risk population only

8. Risk of bias

Orienting tool
RoB 2
Type of assessment
simplified assessment (abstract only)
Full formal assessment
no
Overall risk of bias
low
Rationale

Simplified RoB 2: randomised, double-blind.

9. Assessment of the statistical interpretation

See results.

10. Relevance to the specific claim

C-SUP-02.

11. Independent contrary findings

None contradicting.

12. Transferability to Germany and Europe

High: biology and trial populations comparable to European adults.

13. Overall methodological judgement

Strong evidence of harm in high-risk smokers.

Multidimensional assessment
Multidimensional assessment
Authenticity of the sourceverified
Methodological qualityhigh
Risk of biaslow
Precision of resultsmoderate
Directnessdirect
Reproducibilityreplicated
Consistency with the overall evidenceconsistent
Regional transferabilityhigh
Adequacy of the interpretation (by the archive)correctly reported

14. Open questions

15. Linked fact checks

Use by the Tayebat archive

Note: according to the archive, the studies were compiled by the archive operators. Whether Dr. Elawady himself cited this study is not established.

What the archive says about the study

CARET stopped early after beta carotene plus vitamin A raised lung cancer (RR 1.28) and lung-cancer death (RR 1.46) in smokers.

A. What was actually studied?

Beta-carotene + retinol vs placebo.

B. What did the authors find?

RR 1.28 lung cancer; RR 1.17 all-cause death.

C. What conclusions do the authors themselves draw?

No benefit; possible harm.

D. What does the archive derive from it?

Used as evidence of harm.

E. Is this derivation scientifically justified?

Yes; correct.

Adequacy of the interpretation (by the archive)
correctly reported