Meta-analysisindependent cross-checkabstract checked I-BAR-131 standard review
Meta-analysis: diabetes returning after bypass
Meta-analysis of Long-Term Relapse Rate of Type 2 Diabetes Following Initial Remission After Roux-en-Y Gastric Bypass.
Overview
Yu et al.. Obes Surg 2021 · PMID 34505971 · DOI 10.1007/s11695-021-05692-4
About 3 in 10 people whose diabetes went into remission after bypass later relapsed; relapse was less common than after sleeve.
Does the study support the specific claim? Yes · Methodological quality: moderate
Plain-language summary
Study explained simply
- What did the researchers want to find out?
Relapse after RYGB
- How was the study done?
Meta-analysis
- How many people, animals or samples were studied?
17 studies
- What was actually found?
Relapse 30%
- How large was the observed effect?
HR 0.73 vs SG
- What do the results mean in everyday life?
Remission is not always permanent
- What are the study's limitations?
Observational
- What does it say about Elawady's specific claim?
Supports erosion claim
- Do the results apply to Germany and Europe?
Applicable
- What can explicitly not be concluded from this study?
Effect on complications
Scientific in-depth review
1. Full reference
- Authors
- Yu et al.
- Journal
- Obes Surg
- Year
- 2021
- Identifier
- PMID 34505971 DOI 10.1007/s11695-021-05692-4
- Verification
- verified – PubMed efetch 2026-10-26 + Crossref API
- Retracted
- no
- Corrections
- none
- Extent checked
- abstract only
- Conflicts of interest and funding
COI statement (PubMed record): The authors declare no competing interests.
2. Research question
What is the long-term relapse rate of type 2 diabetes after initial remission following RYGB?
3. Study design and population
- Study design
- Meta-analysis – Meta-analysis of cohort studies
- Population
Patients with T2D in remission after RYGB
- Country
Multinational
- Period
not stated in abstract
- Sample size
17 studies
- Inclusion and exclusion criteria
Studies reporting long-term relapse after RYGB
4. Methods and endpoints
- Exposure / intervention
RYGB
- Comparator
SG (subset)
- Endpoints
Relapse, remission
- Statistical methods
Pooled proportions; HR RYGB vs SG
5. Actual results
- Results
Pooled long-term relapse 0.30 (0.26-0.34); remission 0.63 (0.55-0.72); HR 0.73 (0.66-0.81) for RYGB vs SG (lower relapse after RYGB).
- Absolute risks
About 30 in 100 remitters relapsed in the long term after RYGB.
- Authors' conclusion
RYGB may be preferred for obese patients with T2D due to lower long-term relapse and higher remission vs SG.
6. Strengths
- Focused on relapse
7. Weaknesses
- Observational; definitions vary
- Follow-up lengths differ
8. Risk of bias
- Orienting tool
- AMSTAR 2
- Type of assessment
- simplified assessment (abstract only)
- Full formal assessment
- no
- Overall risk of bias
- some concerns
- Rationale
Abstract only.
9. Assessment of the statistical interpretation
Proportions; HR CI symmetric.
10. Relevance to the specific claim
Quantifies remission erosion (~30% relapse) and bypass advantage over sleeve.
11. Independent contrary findings
12. Transferability to Germany and Europe
International.
13. Overall methodological judgement
Supports relapse claim and bypass-vs-sleeve comparison.
| Multidimensional assessment | |
|---|---|
| Authenticity of the source | verified |
| Methodological quality | moderate |
| Risk of bias | some concerns |
| Precision of results | moderate |
| Directness | direct |
| Reproducibility | replicated |
| Consistency with the overall evidence | consistent |
| Regional transferability | high |
| Adequacy of the interpretation (by the archive) | not applicable |
14. Open questions
Relapse predictors.
15. Linked fact checks
- The diabetes remission achieved by bariatric surgery erodes over time (SOS: 72% at 2 years to 30.4% at 15 years; Adams: 75% to 51%). – Studies supporting the claim
- Gastric bypass is preferable to sleeve gastrectomy (less reflux) and can fully treat type 2 diabetes; for patients who fail dieting, bypass rather than sleeve should be chosen (2021 statement). – Studies supporting the claim