Meta-analysisindependent cross-checkfull text checked★ key study I-LEG-01 in-depth review

Legumes and death rates

Legume Consumption and Risk of All-Cause and Cause-Specific Mortality: A Systematic Review and Dose-Response Meta-Analysis of Prospective Studies.

Overview

Zargarzadeh N et al.. Adv Nutr 2023 · PMID 36811595 · DOI 10.1016/j.advnut.2022.10.009

People eating more legumes had about 6% lower risk of death from any cause.

Does the study support the specific claim? No · Methodological quality: moderate

Original publication

Plain-language summary

Study explained simply
What did the researchers want to find out?

Legumes and mortality

How was the study done?

Meta-analysis

How many people, animals or samples were studied?

1.14 million

What was actually found?

Lower all-cause mortality

How large was the observed effect?

HR 0.94

What do the results mean in everyday life?

Legumes compatible with longevity.

What are the study's limitations?

Observational

What does it say about Elawady's specific claim?

Contradicts harm claims

Do the results apply to Germany and Europe?

Moderate

What can explicitly not be concluded from this study?

Cannot prove causation.

Scientific in-depth review

1. Full reference

Authors
Zargarzadeh N et al.
Journal
Adv Nutr
Year
2023
Identifier
PMID 36811595 DOI 10.1016/j.advnut.2022.10.009
Verification
verified – PubMed efetch 2026-10-25
Retracted
no
Corrections
none
Extent checked
full text
Conflicts of interest and funding

One author funded by Olav og Gerd Meidel Raagholt's Stiftelse and South-East Norway Regional Health Authority (grant 2017076); authors report no conflicts of interest.

2. Research question

Legume intake and mortality.

3. Study design and population

Study design
Meta-analysis – Systematic review and dose-response meta-analysis of prospective cohort studies (PROSPERO CRD42022296260; PRISMA)
Population

General adult populations (aged >=18 y) without prior disease; 5 US, 14 European, 10 Asian, 1 Australian and 2 international cohorts

Country

Multiple (USA, Europe, Asia, Australia, international)

Period

Search from inception to December 2021, updated to September 2022; studies published 1995-2022; follow-up 3-26 years

Sample size

32 cohorts (31 publications), 1,141,793 participants; 93,373 all-cause, 18,056 CVD, 2037 CHD, 2317 stroke and 12,890 cancer deaths

Inclusion and exclusion criteria

Prospective cohorts of adults reporting total or subtype legume intake (soy foods excluded) and adjusted HR/RR with 95% CI for mortality; duplicate cohort publications de-duplicated

4. Methods and endpoints

Exposure / intervention

Highest vs lowest legume intake; per 50 g/day increment (1 serving assumed 100 g)

Comparator

Lower intake

Endpoints

All-cause, CVD, CHD, stroke, cancer mortality

Statistical methods

DerSimonian-Laird random effects; linear (Greenland-Longnecker) and non-linear one-stage mixed-effects dose-response with restricted cubic splines; I2; subgroup, leave-one-out and Egger tests; ROBINS-I for primary studies; GRADE

5. Actual results

Results

High vs low: all-cause HR 0.94 (95% CI 0.91-0.98; 27 cohorts; I2 64.6%); stroke 0.91 (0.84-0.99; 5; not robust in leave-one-out); CVD 0.99 (0.91-1.09); CHD 0.93 (0.78-1.09); cancer 0.85 (0.72-1.01). Per 50 g/day: all-cause 0.94 (0.89-0.99; 19 cohorts), CVD 1.01 (0.94-1.08), CHD 0.90 (0.71-1.13), stroke 0.90 (0.76-1.06), cancer 0.82 (0.61-1.10); no non-linearity. Subgroups all-cause: Europe 1.01 (0.95-1.07; n=11), USA 1.00 (0.96-1.05; n=5), Asia/Australia 0.90 (0.85-0.95), international 0.78 (0.69-0.87). No publication bias (Egger P=0.15). Primary studies: 85% moderate, 15% serious risk of bias (ROBINS-I). GRADE moderate for all-cause and stroke, low for CVD, CHD, cancer.

Absolute risks

not reported in full text

Authors' conclusion

Higher legume intake was associated with lower all-cause and stroke mortality, with no association for CVD, CHD or cancer mortality; findings strongly support recommendations to eat more legumes.

6. Strengths

  • Registered protocol; four databases without language limits
  • Duplicate selection, extraction and ROBINS-I assessment
  • Large number of cohorts and deaths; linear and non-linear dose-response
  • GRADE certainty rating; subgroup and influence analyses

7. Weaknesses

  • Observational data: residual confounding and healthy-user effects possible
  • Substantial heterogeneity (I2 ~65% for all-cause)
  • No association in European (HR 1.01) or US (HR 1.00) cohorts; inverse association driven by Asian and international cohorts
  • Single baseline dietary assessment; legume type and preparation rarely reported
  • Stroke finding not robust; few studies for CHD, stroke, cancer
  • Substitution (what legumes replace) not addressed
  • Authors' 'strongly support' wording is stronger than moderate/low GRADE certainty

8. Risk of bias

Orienting tool
AMSTAR 2
Type of assessment
structured assessment based on the full text by a single reviewer (no formal double review)
Full formal assessment
no
Overall risk of bias
some concerns
Rationale

Single-reviewer structured AMSTAR 2 appraisal from full text; not formal (needs two independent reviewers). Review conduct is good (moderate-to-high confidence); remaining concerns stem from the observational primary evidence and heterogeneity.

8. Risk of bias
DomainJudgementRationale
Item 1 PICO componentslowClearly defined.
Item 2 Protocol registered a priori (critical)lowPROSPERO CRD42022296260.
Item 3 Explanation of included designslowProspective cohorts justified.
Item 4 Comprehensive search (critical)lowFour databases, reference lists, key journals, no language limits.
Item 5 Duplicate selectionlowTwo independent reviewers.
Item 6 Duplicate extractionlowTwo independent extractors.
Item 7 Excluded studies justified (critical)lowSupplemental Table 2 lists exclusions and reasons.
Item 8 Description of included studieslowSupplemental tables 3-7.
Item 9 RoB assessment (critical)lowROBINS-I by two reviewers.
Item 10 Funding of included studieshighNot reported.
Item 11 Appropriate meta-analytic methods (critical)lowRandom effects and established dose-response methods.
Item 12 Impact of RoB on resultssome concernsNo sensitivity analysis by RoB category reported.
Item 13 RoB considered in interpretation (critical)some concernsGRADE downgraded for confounding, but conclusion wording ('strongly support') is assertive.
Item 14 Heterogeneity explainedlowExtensive subgroup analyses.
Item 15 Publication bias (critical)lowFunnel plots and Egger tests.
Item 16 Conflicts of interestlowDeclared.

Full-text review (25 October 2026): Added protocol registration, region subgroups (Europe HR 1.01, USA 1.00 null; Asia 0.90), dose-response for all outcomes, primary-study ROBINS-I distribution, GRADE ratings, soy exclusion, funding/COI; AMSTAR 2 item-level appraisal; transferability to EU revised to moderate.

9. Assessment of the statistical interpretation

Modest relative association (6% lower all-cause mortality) with moderate GRADE certainty; heterogeneous by region, null in European and US cohorts. Importantly for harm claims, no subgroup or outcome shows increased mortality with higher legume intake (upper CI bounds around 1.05-1.09).

10. Relevance to the specific claim

Contradicts claims of general legume harm.

11. Independent contrary findings

None for harm.

12. Transferability to Germany and Europe

Moderate: European cohorts (n=11) showed no association with all-cause mortality (HR 1.01, 0.95-1.07), i.e. neither benefit nor harm.

13. Overall methodological judgement

Key evidence against general harm.

Multidimensional assessment
Multidimensional assessment
Authenticity of the sourceverified
Methodological qualitymoderate
Risk of biassome concerns
Precision of resultshigh
Directnessdirect
Reproducibilityreplicated
Consistency with the overall evidencemixed
Regional transferabilitymoderate
Adequacy of the interpretation (by the archive)not applicable

14. Open questions

Causality; effects of specific legume types and preparation; what legumes replace in the diet; reasons for regional differences.

15. Linked fact checks