Randomised controlled trialindependent cross-checkabstract only checked★ key study I-ODD-07 in-depth review

Semaglutide heart safety trial

Semaglutide and Cardiovascular Outcomes in Patients with Type 2 Diabetes.

Overview

Marso SP et al.. N Engl J Med 2016 · PMID 27633186 · DOI 10.1056/NEJMoa1607141

Fewer heart attacks/strokes, but more diabetic eye complications and stomach side effects.

Does the study support the specific claim? No · Methodological quality: high

Original publication

Plain-language summary

Study explained simply
What did the researchers want to find out?

CV safety of semaglutide

How was the study done?

Double-blind placebo-controlled RCT (SUSTAIN-6)

How many people, animals or samples were studied?

3,297; Type 2 diabetes, 83% with CVD/CKD

What was actually found?

Primary 6.

How large was the observed effect?

HR 0.74

What do the results mean in everyday life?

This drug class protects heart and/or kidneys in the studied patients.

What are the study's limitations?

Industry funded; Selected high-risk population

What does it say about Elawady's specific claim?

Contradicts C-ODD-06; GI and retinopathy harms relevant to C-ODD-05.

Do the results apply to Germany and Europe?

Multinational trial including European sites or directly applicable to EU practice.

What can explicitly not be concluded from this study?

Benefit in low-risk people; absence of side effects.

Scientific in-depth review

1. Full reference

Authors
Marso SP et al.
Journal
N Engl J Med
Year
2016
Identifier
PMID 27633186 DOI 10.1056/NEJMoa1607141
Verification
verified – PubMed efetch 2026-10-25 (this agent)
Retracted
no
Corrections
none
Extent checked
abstract only
Conflicts of interest and funding

Funded by Novo Nordisk.

2. Research question

CV safety of semaglutide

3. Study design and population

Study design
Randomised controlled trial – Double-blind placebo-controlled RCT (SUSTAIN-6)
Population

Type 2 diabetes, 83% with CVD/CKD

Country

International

Period

104 weeks

Sample size

3,297

Inclusion and exclusion criteria

As described in the abstract; details not available in abstract.

4. Methods and endpoints

Exposure / intervention

Semaglutide 0.5/1.0 mg weekly

Comparator

Placebo on top of standard care

Endpoints

CV death, MI, stroke

Statistical methods

Cox proportional hazards, intention to treat

5. Actual results

Results

Primary 6.6% vs 8.9% (HR 0.74, 0.58-0.95); stroke HR 0.61; retinopathy complications higher (HR 1.76, 1.11-2.78); more GI discontinuations.

Absolute risks

Primary -2.3 percentage points.

Authors' conclusion

Lower CV events; noninferiority confirmed.

6. Strengths

  • Large blinded RCT
  • Adjudicated hard endpoints

7. Weaknesses

  • Industry funded
  • Selected high-risk population

8. Risk of bias

Orienting tool
RoB 2
Type of assessment
simplified assessment (abstract only)
Full formal assessment
no
Overall risk of bias
low
Rationale

Blinded, adjudicated outcomes.

9. Assessment of the statistical interpretation

Clinically relevant reductions with adequate precision.

10. Relevance to the specific claim

Contradicts C-ODD-06; GI and retinopathy harms relevant to C-ODD-05.

11. Independent contrary findings

Adverse effects listed in archive studies.

12. Transferability to Germany and Europe

Multinational trial including European sites or directly applicable to EU practice.

13. Overall methodological judgement

High-quality evidence of benefit.

Multidimensional assessment
Multidimensional assessment
Authenticity of the sourceverified
Methodological qualityhigh
Risk of biaslow
Precision of resultshigh
Directnessdirect
Reproducibilityreplicated
Consistency with the overall evidenceconsistent
Regional transferabilityhigh
Adequacy of the interpretation (by the archive)not applicable

14. Open questions

None beyond those stated.

15. Linked fact checks