Meta-analysisindependent cross-checkabstract only checked★ key study I-SUG-01 in-depth review
Sugar and body weight: trials and cohorts
Dietary sugars and body weight: systematic review and meta-analyses of randomised controlled trials and cohort studies.
Overview
Te Morenga L et al.. BMJ 2012 · PMID 23321486 · DOI 10.1136/bmj.e7492
Eating more sugar increased body weight and eating less reduced it, through extra calories.
Does the study support the specific claim? No · Methodological quality: high
Plain-language summary
Study explained simply
- What did the researchers want to find out?
Is intake of dietary sugars associated with body weight?
- How was the study done?
Systematic review and meta-analysis of RCTs (>=2 weeks) and cohorts (>=1 year), Cochrane/GRADE methods (WHO-commissioned per literature; not stated in abstract).
- How many people, animals or samples were studied?
30 trials; 38 cohorts; Adults and children
- What was actually found?
Adults ad libitum: reduced sugars -0.80 kg (0.39-1.21); increased sugars +0.75 kg (0.30-1.19); isoenergetic exchange 0.04 kg (-0.04 to 0.13). Children: SSB highest vs lowest OR 1.55 (1.32-1.82) for overweight at 1 year.
- How large was the observed effect?
-0.80 kg with reduction; +0.75 kg with increase
- What do the results mean in everyday life?
More sugar means more weight for most people.
- What are the study's limitations?
Heterogeneity in one analysis; Child trials low compliance
- What does it say about Elawady's specific claim?
- Do the results apply to Germany and Europe?
High.
- What can explicitly not be concluded from this study?
Effects in isoenergetic diets (none found).
Scientific in-depth review
1. Full reference
- Authors
- Te Morenga L et al.
- Journal
- BMJ
- Year
- 2012
- Identifier
- PMID 23321486 DOI 10.1136/bmj.e7492
- Verification
- verified – PubMed efetch 2026-10-25
- Retracted
- no
- Corrections
- none
- Extent checked
- abstract only
- Conflicts of interest and funding
not stated in abstract
2. Research question
Is intake of dietary sugars associated with body weight?
3. Study design and population
- Study design
- Meta-analysis – Systematic review and meta-analysis of RCTs (>=2 weeks) and cohorts (>=1 year), Cochrane/GRADE methods (WHO-commissioned per literature; not stated in abstract).
- Population
Adults and children
- Country
Multinational
- Period
Literature to Dec 2011
- Sample size
30 trials; 38 cohorts
- Inclusion and exclusion criteria
Weight-loss trials and confounded trials excluded
4. Methods and endpoints
- Exposure / intervention
Higher/lower free sugars or SSB
- Comparator
Lower/higher intake; isoenergetic exchange
- Endpoints
Body weight/fatness
- Statistical methods
Inverse-variance random effects
5. Actual results
- Results
Adults ad libitum: reduced sugars -0.80 kg (0.39-1.21); increased sugars +0.75 kg (0.30-1.19); isoenergetic exchange 0.04 kg (-0.04 to 0.13). Children: SSB highest vs lowest OR 1.55 (1.32-1.82) for overweight at 1 year.
- Absolute risks
not applicable
- Authors' conclusion
Intake of free sugars or SSB is a determinant of body weight, mediated via energy intake.
6. Strengths
- RCT evidence
- GRADE
7. Weaknesses
- Heterogeneity in one analysis
- Child trials low compliance
8. Risk of bias
- Orienting tool
- AMSTAR 2
- Type of assessment
- simplified assessment (abstract only)
- Full formal assessment
- no
- Overall risk of bias
- low
- Rationale
High-quality review.
9. Assessment of the statistical interpretation
Small but consistent weight effects.
10. Relevance to the specific claim
Contradicts C-SUG-01; supports C-SOD-02.
11. Independent contrary findings
None.
12. Transferability to Germany and Europe
High.
13. Overall methodological judgement
Key evidence underpinning WHO 2015.
| Multidimensional assessment | |
|---|---|
| Authenticity of the source | verified |
| Methodological quality | high |
| Risk of bias | low |
| Precision of results | high |
| Directness | direct |
| Reproducibility | replicated |
| Consistency with the overall evidence | consistent |
| Regional transferability | high |
| Adequacy of the interpretation (by the archive) | not applicable |
14. Open questions
Long-term outcomes.
15. Linked fact checks
- Sugar-sweetened soft drinks deliver liquid calories that do not satisfy hunger and therefore promote weight gain in children and adults. – Studies supporting the claim
- White sugar is the greatest product humans ever made; any amount of sugar per day is beneficial, and one can eat a kilogram of white sugar or honey. – Studies contradicting or limiting the claim