Meta-analysisindependent cross-checkabstract only checked★ key study I-SUG-01 in-depth review

Sugar and body weight: trials and cohorts

Dietary sugars and body weight: systematic review and meta-analyses of randomised controlled trials and cohort studies.

Overview

Te Morenga L et al.. BMJ 2012 · PMID 23321486 · DOI 10.1136/bmj.e7492

Eating more sugar increased body weight and eating less reduced it, through extra calories.

Does the study support the specific claim? No · Methodological quality: high

Original publication

Plain-language summary

Study explained simply
What did the researchers want to find out?

Is intake of dietary sugars associated with body weight?

How was the study done?

Systematic review and meta-analysis of RCTs (>=2 weeks) and cohorts (>=1 year), Cochrane/GRADE methods (WHO-commissioned per literature; not stated in abstract).

How many people, animals or samples were studied?

30 trials; 38 cohorts; Adults and children

What was actually found?

Adults ad libitum: reduced sugars -0.80 kg (0.39-1.21); increased sugars +0.75 kg (0.30-1.19); isoenergetic exchange 0.04 kg (-0.04 to 0.13). Children: SSB highest vs lowest OR 1.55 (1.32-1.82) for overweight at 1 year.

How large was the observed effect?

-0.80 kg with reduction; +0.75 kg with increase

What do the results mean in everyday life?

More sugar means more weight for most people.

What are the study's limitations?

Heterogeneity in one analysis; Child trials low compliance

What does it say about Elawady's specific claim?

Contradicts C-SUG-01; supports C-SOD-02.

Do the results apply to Germany and Europe?

High.

What can explicitly not be concluded from this study?

Effects in isoenergetic diets (none found).

Scientific in-depth review

1. Full reference

Authors
Te Morenga L et al.
Journal
BMJ
Year
2012
Identifier
PMID 23321486 DOI 10.1136/bmj.e7492
Verification
verified – PubMed efetch 2026-10-25
Retracted
no
Corrections
none
Extent checked
abstract only
Conflicts of interest and funding

not stated in abstract

2. Research question

Is intake of dietary sugars associated with body weight?

3. Study design and population

Study design
Meta-analysis – Systematic review and meta-analysis of RCTs (>=2 weeks) and cohorts (>=1 year), Cochrane/GRADE methods (WHO-commissioned per literature; not stated in abstract).
Population

Adults and children

Country

Multinational

Period

Literature to Dec 2011

Sample size

30 trials; 38 cohorts

Inclusion and exclusion criteria

Weight-loss trials and confounded trials excluded

4. Methods and endpoints

Exposure / intervention

Higher/lower free sugars or SSB

Comparator

Lower/higher intake; isoenergetic exchange

Endpoints

Body weight/fatness

Statistical methods

Inverse-variance random effects

5. Actual results

Results

Adults ad libitum: reduced sugars -0.80 kg (0.39-1.21); increased sugars +0.75 kg (0.30-1.19); isoenergetic exchange 0.04 kg (-0.04 to 0.13). Children: SSB highest vs lowest OR 1.55 (1.32-1.82) for overweight at 1 year.

Absolute risks

not applicable

Authors' conclusion

Intake of free sugars or SSB is a determinant of body weight, mediated via energy intake.

6. Strengths

  • RCT evidence
  • GRADE

7. Weaknesses

  • Heterogeneity in one analysis
  • Child trials low compliance

8. Risk of bias

Orienting tool
AMSTAR 2
Type of assessment
simplified assessment (abstract only)
Full formal assessment
no
Overall risk of bias
low
Rationale

High-quality review.

9. Assessment of the statistical interpretation

Small but consistent weight effects.

10. Relevance to the specific claim

Contradicts C-SUG-01; supports C-SOD-02.

11. Independent contrary findings

None.

12. Transferability to Germany and Europe

High.

13. Overall methodological judgement

Key evidence underpinning WHO 2015.

Multidimensional assessment
Multidimensional assessment
Authenticity of the sourceverified
Methodological qualityhigh
Risk of biaslow
Precision of resultshigh
Directnessdirect
Reproducibilityreplicated
Consistency with the overall evidenceconsistent
Regional transferabilityhigh
Adequacy of the interpretation (by the archive)not applicable

14. Open questions

Long-term outcomes.

15. Linked fact checks