Meta-analysisindependent cross-checkabstract checked I-SUP-110 in-depth review

Calcium pills and heart disease: meta-analysis

Calcium Supplements and Risk of Cardiovascular Disease: A Meta-Analysis of Clinical Trials.

Overview

Myung SK et al.. Nutrients 2021 · PMID 33530332 · DOI 10.3390/nu13020368

Pooling 13 placebo-controlled trials, calcium pills were linked to about 15% more cardiovascular disease, mainly in healthy postmenopausal women.

Does the study support the specific claim? Yes · Methodological quality: moderate

Original publication

Plain-language summary

Study explained simply
What did the researchers want to find out?

To check whether calcium pills raise heart disease risk.

How was the study done?

Meta-analysis of double-blind trials.

How many people, animals or samples were studied?

13 trials, about 43,000 people.

What was actually found?

About 15% more CVD and CHD.

How large was the observed effect?

CVD RR 1.15 (1.06-1.25).

What do the results mean in everyday life?

Calcium pills may slightly raise heart risk.

What are the study's limitations?

Heart outcomes were not the main aim of the trials.

What does it say about Elawady's specific claim?

Supports the direction of C-SUP-04.

Do the results apply to Germany and Europe?

Applicable.

What can explicitly not be concluded from this study?

Does not settle the question; other analyses disagree.

Scientific in-depth review

1. Full reference

Authors
Myung SK et al.
Journal
Nutrients
Year
2021
Identifier
PMID 33530332 DOI 10.3390/nu13020368 · PMC7910980
Verification
verified – PubMed efetch 2026-10-26; Crossref works API 2026-10-26
Retracted
no
Corrections
none
Extent checked
abstract only
Conflicts of interest and funding

COI statement in record: The authors declare no conflict of interest.

2. Research question

Do calcium supplements increase cardiovascular disease risk?

3. Study design and population

Study design
Meta-analysis – Meta-analysis of double-blind placebo-controlled RCTs
Population

Adults in double-blind RCTs of calcium supplements (mainly postmenopausal women)

Country

Multinational

Period

Search November 2020

Sample size

13 RCTs; 28,935 intervention and 14,243 control participants

Inclusion and exclusion criteria

Double-blind placebo-controlled RCTs

4. Methods and endpoints

Exposure / intervention

Calcium supplements (with or without vitamin D)

Comparator

Placebo

Endpoints

CVD, coronary heart disease, cerebrovascular disease

Statistical methods

Random-effects meta-analysis; subgroup analyses

5. Actual results

Results

Calcium supplements increased CVD (RR 1.15, 1.06-1.25; I2 0%) and CHD (RR 1.16, 1.05-1.28; I2 0%), specifically in healthy postmenopausal women; subgroup: dietary calcium 700-1000 mg/day or supplementary 1000 mg/day increased CVD and CHD risk.

Absolute risks

not reported in abstract

Authors' conclusion

Calcium supplements increased CVD risk by about 15% in healthy postmenopausal women.

6. Strengths

  • Restricted to double-blind placebo-controlled trials
  • No heterogeneity

7. Weaknesses

  • CVD mostly secondary outcomes in included trials
  • Overlaps with Bolland analyses
  • Subgroup analyses

8. Risk of bias

Orienting tool
AMSTAR 2
Type of assessment
simplified assessment (abstract only)
Full formal assessment
no
Overall risk of bias
some concerns
Rationale

Abstract only; outcome ascertainment in source trials not designed for CVD.

9. Assessment of the statistical interpretation

CIs are log-symmetric (stats/C-SUP-04_calcium.py). Same author group as I-SUP-115 (Myung).

10. Relevance to the specific claim

Supports a modest CVD excess with calcium supplements (with or without vitamin D), in line with the claim's direction.

11. Independent contrary findings

I-SUP-112 (Sim 2023, 12 RCTs) and I-SUP-06 (Chung 2016) found no association.

12. Transferability to Germany and Europe

Applicable.

13. Overall methodological judgement

Adds support but the evidence remains conflicting.

Multidimensional assessment
Multidimensional assessment
Authenticity of the sourceverified
Methodological qualitymoderate
Risk of biassome concerns
Precision of resultsmoderate
Directnessdirect
Reproducibilitypartly replicated
Consistency with the overall evidenceinconsistent
Regional transferabilityhigh
Adequacy of the interpretation (by the archive)not applicable

14. Open questions

Whether the effect depends on dietary calcium and dosing pattern.

15. Linked fact checks