Meta-analysisindependent cross-checkabstract checked I-SUP-110 in-depth review
Calcium pills and heart disease: meta-analysis
Calcium Supplements and Risk of Cardiovascular Disease: A Meta-Analysis of Clinical Trials.
Overview
Myung SK et al.. Nutrients 2021 · PMID 33530332 · DOI 10.3390/nu13020368
Pooling 13 placebo-controlled trials, calcium pills were linked to about 15% more cardiovascular disease, mainly in healthy postmenopausal women.
Does the study support the specific claim? Yes · Methodological quality: moderate
Plain-language summary
Study explained simply
- What did the researchers want to find out?
To check whether calcium pills raise heart disease risk.
- How was the study done?
Meta-analysis of double-blind trials.
- How many people, animals or samples were studied?
13 trials, about 43,000 people.
- What was actually found?
About 15% more CVD and CHD.
- How large was the observed effect?
CVD RR 1.15 (1.06-1.25).
- What do the results mean in everyday life?
Calcium pills may slightly raise heart risk.
- What are the study's limitations?
Heart outcomes were not the main aim of the trials.
- What does it say about Elawady's specific claim?
Supports the direction of C-SUP-04.
- Do the results apply to Germany and Europe?
Applicable.
- What can explicitly not be concluded from this study?
Does not settle the question; other analyses disagree.
Scientific in-depth review
1. Full reference
- Authors
- Myung SK et al.
- Journal
- Nutrients
- Year
- 2021
- Identifier
- PMID 33530332 DOI 10.3390/nu13020368 · PMC7910980
- Verification
- verified – PubMed efetch 2026-10-26; Crossref works API 2026-10-26
- Retracted
- no
- Corrections
- none
- Extent checked
- abstract only
- Conflicts of interest and funding
COI statement in record: The authors declare no conflict of interest.
2. Research question
Do calcium supplements increase cardiovascular disease risk?
3. Study design and population
- Study design
- Meta-analysis – Meta-analysis of double-blind placebo-controlled RCTs
- Population
Adults in double-blind RCTs of calcium supplements (mainly postmenopausal women)
- Country
Multinational
- Period
Search November 2020
- Sample size
13 RCTs; 28,935 intervention and 14,243 control participants
- Inclusion and exclusion criteria
Double-blind placebo-controlled RCTs
4. Methods and endpoints
- Exposure / intervention
Calcium supplements (with or without vitamin D)
- Comparator
Placebo
- Endpoints
CVD, coronary heart disease, cerebrovascular disease
- Statistical methods
Random-effects meta-analysis; subgroup analyses
5. Actual results
- Results
Calcium supplements increased CVD (RR 1.15, 1.06-1.25; I2 0%) and CHD (RR 1.16, 1.05-1.28; I2 0%), specifically in healthy postmenopausal women; subgroup: dietary calcium 700-1000 mg/day or supplementary 1000 mg/day increased CVD and CHD risk.
- Absolute risks
not reported in abstract
- Authors' conclusion
Calcium supplements increased CVD risk by about 15% in healthy postmenopausal women.
6. Strengths
- Restricted to double-blind placebo-controlled trials
- No heterogeneity
7. Weaknesses
- CVD mostly secondary outcomes in included trials
- Overlaps with Bolland analyses
- Subgroup analyses
8. Risk of bias
- Orienting tool
- AMSTAR 2
- Type of assessment
- simplified assessment (abstract only)
- Full formal assessment
- no
- Overall risk of bias
- some concerns
- Rationale
Abstract only; outcome ascertainment in source trials not designed for CVD.
9. Assessment of the statistical interpretation
CIs are log-symmetric (stats/C-SUP-04_calcium.py). Same author group as I-SUP-115 (Myung).
10. Relevance to the specific claim
Supports a modest CVD excess with calcium supplements (with or without vitamin D), in line with the claim's direction.
11. Independent contrary findings
I-SUP-112 (Sim 2023, 12 RCTs) and I-SUP-06 (Chung 2016) found no association.
12. Transferability to Germany and Europe
Applicable.
13. Overall methodological judgement
Adds support but the evidence remains conflicting.
| Multidimensional assessment | |
|---|---|
| Authenticity of the source | verified |
| Methodological quality | moderate |
| Risk of bias | some concerns |
| Precision of results | moderate |
| Directness | direct |
| Reproducibility | partly replicated |
| Consistency with the overall evidence | inconsistent |
| Regional transferability | high |
| Adequacy of the interpretation (by the archive) | not applicable |
14. Open questions
Whether the effect depends on dietary calcium and dosing pattern.