Otherindependent cross-checkabstract checked★ key study I-VEG-132 standard review
Leafy greens: frequent but rarely deadly outbreak source
Outbreaks attributed to fresh leafy vegetables, United States, 1973-2012.
Overview
Herman KM et al.. Epidemiol Infect 2015 · PMID 25697407 · DOI 10.1017/S0950268815000047
Over 40 years, US leafy-vegetable outbreaks caused 20,003 illnesses and 19 deaths; many involved infected food workers.
Does the study support the specific claim? Yes · Methodological quality: moderate
Plain-language summary
Study explained simply
- What did the researchers want to find out?
Describe US leafy-vegetable outbreaks.
- How was the study done?
Surveillance review.
- How many people, animals or samples were studied?
606 outbreaks.
- What was actually found?
Large outbreaks, mostly norovirus, low fatality.
- How large was the observed effect?
CFR ~0.1%.
- What do the results mean in everyday life?
Washing hands and safe handling matter as much as farming.
- What are the study's limitations?
Outbreak data only.
- What does it say about Elawady's specific claim?
Supports the claim with context.
- Do the results apply to Germany and Europe?
US.
- What can explicitly not be concluded from this study?
Cannot estimate risk per serving.
Scientific in-depth review
1. Full reference
- Authors
- Herman KM et al.
- Journal
- Epidemiol Infect
- Year
- 2015
- Identifier
- PMID 25697407 DOI 10.1017/S0950268815000047
- Verification
- verified – PubMed efetch 2026-10-26; Crossref 2026-10-26
- Retracted
- no
- Corrections
- none
- Extent checked
- abstract only
- Conflicts of interest and funding
Funding (PubMed grant list): Intramural CDC HHS
2. Research question
What are the characteristics of US outbreaks attributed to leafy vegetables?
3. Study design and population
- Study design
- Other – Review of national outbreak surveillance data (CDC FDOSS)
- Population
US outbreaks reported to CDC
- Country
USA
- Period
1973-2012
- Sample size
606 outbreaks; 20,003 illnesses
- Inclusion and exclusion criteria
not stated in abstract
4. Methods and endpoints
- Exposure / intervention
Leafy vegetables as outbreak vehicle
- Comparator
Other food types
- Endpoints
Outbreaks, illnesses, hospitalisations, deaths; pathogens; settings
- Statistical methods
Descriptive
5. Actual results
- Results
606 leafy-vegetable outbreaks, 20,003 illnesses, 1,030 hospitalisations, 19 deaths; outbreaks larger on average than other food types; norovirus 55%, STEC 18%, Salmonella 11% of confirmed aetiologies; 85% from restaurant/catering food; ill food worker implicated in 31%.
- Absolute risks
not reported
- Authors' conclusion
Control efforts should span from harvest to preparation.
6. Strengths
- 40 years of national data
7. Weaknesses
- Outbreak data miss sporadic cases
- Reporting changes over time
8. Risk of bias
- Orienting tool
- none applicable
- Type of assessment
- simplified assessment (abstract only)
- Full formal assessment
- no
- Overall risk of bias
- some concerns
- Rationale
Surveillance reporting bias.
9. Assessment of the statistical interpretation
Case fatality 0.095%; hospitalisation 5.1% (stats/C-VEG-03_outbreaks.py).
10. Relevance to the specific claim
Supports that leafy greens are prominent outbreak vehicles, while showing low fatality and a large role of food handling.
11. Independent contrary findings
Painter 2013: poultry caused most deaths.
12. Transferability to Germany and Europe
US data; EFSA 2013 similar for EU.
13. Overall methodological judgement
Supports the claim with important context.
| Multidimensional assessment | |
|---|---|
| Authenticity of the source | verified |
| Methodological quality | moderate |
| Risk of bias | some concerns |
| Precision of results | moderate |
| Directness | direct |
| Reproducibility | replicated |
| Consistency with the overall evidence | consistent |
| Regional transferability | moderate |
| Adequacy of the interpretation (by the archive) | not applicable |
14. Open questions
Per-serving risk.
15. Linked fact checks
- Leafy greens and cucurbits are at the centre of the modern fresh-produce outbreak record (E. coli, Salmonella, Listeria). – Studies supporting the claim