Otherindependent cross-checkabstract checked★ key study I-VEG-132 standard review

Leafy greens: frequent but rarely deadly outbreak source

Outbreaks attributed to fresh leafy vegetables, United States, 1973-2012.

Overview

Herman KM et al.. Epidemiol Infect 2015 · PMID 25697407 · DOI 10.1017/S0950268815000047

Over 40 years, US leafy-vegetable outbreaks caused 20,003 illnesses and 19 deaths; many involved infected food workers.

Does the study support the specific claim? Yes · Methodological quality: moderate

Original publication

Plain-language summary

Study explained simply
What did the researchers want to find out?

Describe US leafy-vegetable outbreaks.

How was the study done?

Surveillance review.

How many people, animals or samples were studied?

606 outbreaks.

What was actually found?

Large outbreaks, mostly norovirus, low fatality.

How large was the observed effect?

CFR ~0.1%.

What do the results mean in everyday life?

Washing hands and safe handling matter as much as farming.

What are the study's limitations?

Outbreak data only.

What does it say about Elawady's specific claim?

Supports the claim with context.

Do the results apply to Germany and Europe?

US.

What can explicitly not be concluded from this study?

Cannot estimate risk per serving.

Scientific in-depth review

1. Full reference

Authors
Herman KM et al.
Journal
Epidemiol Infect
Year
2015
Identifier
PMID 25697407 DOI 10.1017/S0950268815000047
Verification
verified – PubMed efetch 2026-10-26; Crossref 2026-10-26
Retracted
no
Corrections
none
Extent checked
abstract only
Conflicts of interest and funding

Funding (PubMed grant list): Intramural CDC HHS

2. Research question

What are the characteristics of US outbreaks attributed to leafy vegetables?

3. Study design and population

Study design
Other – Review of national outbreak surveillance data (CDC FDOSS)
Population

US outbreaks reported to CDC

Country

USA

Period

1973-2012

Sample size

606 outbreaks; 20,003 illnesses

Inclusion and exclusion criteria

not stated in abstract

4. Methods and endpoints

Exposure / intervention

Leafy vegetables as outbreak vehicle

Comparator

Other food types

Endpoints

Outbreaks, illnesses, hospitalisations, deaths; pathogens; settings

Statistical methods

Descriptive

5. Actual results

Results

606 leafy-vegetable outbreaks, 20,003 illnesses, 1,030 hospitalisations, 19 deaths; outbreaks larger on average than other food types; norovirus 55%, STEC 18%, Salmonella 11% of confirmed aetiologies; 85% from restaurant/catering food; ill food worker implicated in 31%.

Absolute risks

not reported

Authors' conclusion

Control efforts should span from harvest to preparation.

6. Strengths

  • 40 years of national data

7. Weaknesses

  • Outbreak data miss sporadic cases
  • Reporting changes over time

8. Risk of bias

Orienting tool
none applicable
Type of assessment
simplified assessment (abstract only)
Full formal assessment
no
Overall risk of bias
some concerns
Rationale

Surveillance reporting bias.

9. Assessment of the statistical interpretation

Case fatality 0.095%; hospitalisation 5.1% (stats/C-VEG-03_outbreaks.py).

10. Relevance to the specific claim

Supports that leafy greens are prominent outbreak vehicles, while showing low fatality and a large role of food handling.

11. Independent contrary findings

Painter 2013: poultry caused most deaths.

12. Transferability to Germany and Europe

US data; EFSA 2013 similar for EU.

13. Overall methodological judgement

Supports the claim with important context.

Multidimensional assessment
Multidimensional assessment
Authenticity of the sourceverified
Methodological qualitymoderate
Risk of biassome concerns
Precision of resultsmoderate
Directnessdirect
Reproducibilityreplicated
Consistency with the overall evidenceconsistent
Regional transferabilitymoderate
Adequacy of the interpretation (by the archive)not applicable

14. Open questions

Per-serving risk.

15. Linked fact checks