Nezam El-Tayebat Fact CheckA scientific assessment of the “نظام الطيبات” nutrition system
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False Certainty of evidence: high provisional C-SRC-56

There are to be no vaccinations: vaccinations, medicines and herbs are forbidden.

Safety note: Do not skip or refuse recommended vaccinations for children or adults on the basis of this claim. Unvaccinated children are at risk of measles, whooping cough and other preventable diseases, and can infect babies and sick people. Discuss concerns with a physician.
Conclusion: Vaccines have small, known risks but very large proven benefits; banning them is wrong.
  1. Original statement
  2. Scientific assessment
  3. In plain language
  4. Studies on this claim
  5. Regional context
  6. What applies in my country?
  7. References

Original statement

عقلك من الصندوق انت راجل صاحب فكر ماشي ما فيش تطعيمات يا باشا استاذ سوزي سوسي ممنوع التطعيمات ممنوع الادويه ممنوع الاعشاب كل حاجه قديمه للبيع ساره السيد ازيك ما انا لايف النهارده

verbatim according to source. Translation by the project; the Arabic wording is authoritative.

Translation

There are to be no vaccinations: vaccinations, medicines and herbs are forbidden.

Origin

Source status
Video transcript (own words)
Attribution
Elawady (machine transcript)
Video
Dr Diaa Al Awady د ضياء العوضي is live!صباح الخير اتباع العوضي (Open source)
Published
19 September 2025
Timestamp
1:06:40 (location in the original video’s automatic YouTube caption track; confirms where the words occur, not who speaks)
Attribution uncertainty
Transcript is YouTube CC or machine-generated (no timestamps); wording may contain speech-recognition errors. Speaker attribution within live streams/podcasts is not marked in the transcript; the excerpt was judged to be Elawady's own speech from context. Recurrence = number of archive transcripts matching the keyword pattern ['تطعيمات|التطعيمات|لقاح|اللقاحات'] (approximate; includes re-uploads/clips; 30 distinct text passages).
Claimed mechanism

Not stated in this excerpt.

Claimed health effect

Not specified.

Population concerned

Everyone (followers).

Geographic restriction by Elawady

none found; he does not limit this statement to a country or to a production system

Diverging source versions

Source status
Video transcript (own words)
Attribution
Elawady (machine transcript)
Video
Dr Diaa Al Awady د ضياء العوضي is live! اصل الأمراض في فهم الاعراض✌️✌️✌️ (Open source)
Published
5 September 2025
Timestamp
not available (transcript has no timings)
Attribution uncertainty
Further video in which the same statement recurs; no excerpt recorded. Archive transcript without timestamps.
Source status
Video transcript (own words)
Attribution
Elawady (machine transcript)
Video
Dr Diaa Al Awady د ضياء العوضي is live! يعني ايه تجويع الخلايا من السكر و ايه علاقتها بمقاومة الانسو (Open source)
Published
2 November 2025
Timestamp
not available (transcript has no timings)
Attribution uncertainty
Further video in which the same statement recurs; no excerpt recorded. Archive transcript without timestamps.

لا ما حدش ياخد تطعيم مدارس خالص ولا يمد في ايده في جسمه بشكه ابره ولا بنقطه ولا بتطعيم ولا اي حاجه

Nobody should take school vaccinations at all, nor let anyone put a needle, a drop or a vaccination into their body.

Source status
Video transcript (own words)
Attribution
Elawady (machine transcript)
Video
Dr Diaa Al Awady د ضياء العوضي is live! الالتهاب ايه هوه ؟ (Open source)
Published
26 September 2025
Timestamp
0:41:13 (location in the original video’s automatic YouTube caption track; confirms where the words occur, not who speaks)
Attribution uncertainty
Archive transcript (YouTube CC or AI-generated); no timestamps; 'published' is the date listed by the archive and may be the upload date. Live-stream transcripts can contain viewer comments read aloud; the quoted passage was checked in context to be spoken by Elawady.

Scientific assessment

False – The statement contradicts the robust evidence.

Certainty of evidence: high – Further research is very unlikely to change the assessment.

1. What was claimed?

There should be no vaccinations; vaccinations, medicines and herbs are forbidden (including school vaccinations).

2. What is demonstrably correct?

Vaccines have side effects, and the Cochrane review quantifies them: MMR-type vaccines cause febrile seizures in about 1 per 1150-1700 doses and ITP in about 1 per 40,000 doses (lower than after natural infection) (I-INTB-16); inactivated influenza vaccine slightly increases fever (1.5% to 2.3%) and its absolute benefit in healthy adults is modest (I-INTB-13).

3. What is wrong or exaggerated?

A ban on vaccination contradicts strong evidence of benefit: measles vaccine effectiveness 95% after one dose and 96% after two (I-INTB-16); about 154 million deaths averted since 1974, including 101 million infants (I-INTB-15). No association with autism (OR 0.99) (I-INTB-17) or with encephalitis, type 1 diabetes, asthma or leukaemia (I-INTB-16).

4. What remains unclear?

Modelled death estimates depend on assumptions (I-INTB-15).

5. Which studies support it?

I-INTB-16 (side effects exist), I-INTB-13 (modest benefit in healthy adults).

6. Which studies contradict it?

I-INTB-15, I-INTB-16, I-INTB-17, I-INTB-13.

7. What applies to Germany and Europe?

National immunisation programmes (e.g. STIKO in Germany) recommend routine childhood vaccination (general knowledge; not separately fetched).

8. What is known about Egypt?

Egypt has compulsory childhood vaccinations; declining coverage would risk outbreaks of measles and other diseases.

9. What practical conclusion is appropriate?

Follow the national vaccination schedule; discuss any concerns or contraindications with a physician.

Assessment details

Rationale for certainty of evidence

High-certainty evidence: MMR vaccination prevents about 95% of measles after one dose (I-INTB-16); vaccination averted an estimated 154 million deaths since 1974 (I-INTB-15); influenza vaccine roughly halves confirmed influenza (I-INTB-13); vaccines are not associated with autism (I-INTB-17).

Source quality

Machine transcript of a live stream; wording may contain recognition errors; meaning checked in context. Repeated in other live streams (e.g. against school vaccinations).

Regional transferability

Universal; Egypt has a national childhood immunisation programme.

Individual exceptions

Some people have specific contraindications (e.g. severe allergy to a vaccine component, some immunodeficiencies for live vaccines); these are decided individually.

Regional scope of the claim
general (biological/medical)
Last reviewed
25 October 2026 provisional

In plain language

Dr. Elawady told followers that vaccinations are forbidden, including school vaccinations. Vaccines can have side effects, such as fever and, rarely, febrile seizures. But large reviews show that the measles vaccine prevents about 95% of cases and that vaccines have saved well over 100 million lives since 1974. Vaccines are not linked to autism. Refusing vaccines puts children and others at risk.

Studies on this claim

Studies supporting the claim (0)

No studies in this group.

Studies contradicting or limiting the claim (4)

  • 50 years of vaccination: lives saved

    Shattock AJ et al.. Lancet 2024 · PMID 38705159 · DOI 10.1016/S0140-6736(24)00850-X
    Risk assessmentindependent cross-checkfull text checked★ key study

    Vaccines against 14 diseases averted an estimated 154 million deaths since 1974 (about 94 million by measles vaccine alone), mostly in young children.

    Vaccination averted about 154 million deaths.

    Does the study support the specific claim? No · Methodological quality: moderate · Certainty of evidence: see overall assessment of the claim

    Original publication · Scientific details

    Study explained simply
    What did the researchers want to find out?

    Estimate deaths averted by vaccination

    How was the study done?

    Modelling

    How many people, animals or samples were studied?

    Global

    What was actually found?

    154 million deaths averted

    How large was the observed effect?

    40% of infant-mortality decline

    What do the results mean in everyday life?

    Vaccination is one of the main reasons far fewer children die today.

    What are the study's limitations?

    Model-based counterfactual; no formal uncertainty bounds; WHO-funded with WHO-linked authors

    What does it say about Elawady's specific claim?

    Contradicts 'no vaccinations'.

    Do the results apply to Germany and Europe?

    High

    What can explicitly not be concluded from this study?

    Model estimates are not direct observations.

    Scientific details →

  • Measles-mumps-rubella vaccines work and are safe

    Di Pietrantonj C et al.. Cochrane Database Syst Rev 2021 · PMID 34806766 · DOI 10.1002/14651858.CD004407.pub5
    Systematic reviewindependent cross-checkabstract only checked★ key study

    One dose prevents about 95% of measles; serious side effects are rare and no link to autism was found.

    MMR is highly effective; rare harms quantified.

    Does the study support the specific claim? No · Methodological quality: high · Certainty of evidence: see overall assessment of the claim

    Original publication · Scientific details

    Study explained simply
    What did the researchers want to find out?

    Assess MMR/MMRV

    How was the study done?

    Cochrane review

    How many people, animals or samples were studied?

    138 studies, 23 million children

    What was actually found?

    High effectiveness, rare harms

    How large was the observed effect?

    measles RR 0.05

    What do the results mean in everyday life?

    The measles vaccine prevents almost all cases; rare side effects such as febrile seizures exist.

    What are the study's limitations?

    Observational data; abstract only

    What does it say about Elawady's specific claim?

    Contradicts 'no vaccinations'.

    Do the results apply to Germany and Europe?

    High

    Scientific details →

  • Vaccines do not cause autism

    Taylor LE, Swerdfeger AL, Eslick GD. Vaccine 2014 · PMID 24814559 · DOI 10.1016/j.vaccine.2014.04.085
    Meta-analysisindependent cross-checkabstract only checked

    In over 1.2 million children, vaccination was not linked to autism.

    No vaccine-autism link.

    Does the study support the specific claim? No · Methodological quality: moderate · Certainty of evidence: see overall assessment of the claim

    Original publication · Scientific details

    Study explained simply
    What did the researchers want to find out?

    Test vaccine-autism link

    How was the study done?

    Meta-analysis

    How many people, animals or samples were studied?

    10 studies

    What was actually found?

    No association

    How large was the observed effect?

    OR 0.99

    What do the results mean in everyday life?

    Fear of autism is not a reason to avoid vaccines.

    What are the study's limitations?

    Observational; abstract only

    What does it say about Elawady's specific claim?

    Contradicts vaccine rejection based on autism fears.

    Do the results apply to Germany and Europe?

    High

    Scientific details →

  • Flu vaccines in healthy adults

    Demicheli V et al.. Cochrane Database Syst Rev 2018 · PMID 29388196 · DOI 10.1002/14651858.CD001269.pub6
    Meta-analysisindependent cross-checkabstract only checked

    Vaccination roughly halves confirmed influenza (2.3% to 0.9%); absolute benefit is modest.

    Vaccines reduce influenza; no serious harms found.

    Does the study support the specific claim? No · Methodological quality: high · Certainty of evidence: see overall assessment of the claim

    Original publication · Scientific details

    Study explained simply
    What did the researchers want to find out?

    Assess influenza vaccines

    How was the study done?

    Cochrane review

    How many people, animals or samples were studied?

    52 trials, >80,000 adults

    What was actually found?

    Fewer influenza cases; small effect on hospitalisation

    How large was the observed effect?

    RR 0.41

    What do the results mean in everyday life?

    Flu shots reduce flu but do not abolish it; nothing removes seasonal flu from a country in three weeks.

    What are the study's limitations?

    Old trials; abstract only

    What does it say about Elawady's specific claim?

    Contradicts both the 3-week claim and blanket vaccine rejection, while showing modest absolute benefit.

    Do the results apply to Germany and Europe?

    High

    What can explicitly not be concluded from this study?

    Does not address older or high-risk adults.

    Scientific details →

Studies with mixed or unclear results (0)

No studies in this group.

Regional context

Germany / EU

National immunisation programmes (e.g. STIKO in Germany) recommend routine childhood vaccination (general knowledge; not separately fetched).

Egypt

Egypt has compulsory childhood vaccinations; declining coverage would risk outbreaks of measles and other diseases.

What applies in my country?

General scientific assessment

False Vaccines have small, known risks but very large proven benefits; banning them is wrong.

This statement concerns biological or medical relationships. The scientific assessment above applies regardless of the country; country-specific food data do not change it.

References

  1. Contribution of vaccination to improved survival and health: modelling 50 years of the Expanded Programme on Immunization.. Shattock AJ et al.. Lancet 2024 · PMID 38705159 · DOI 10.1016/S0140-6736(24)00850-X
  2. Vaccines for measles, mumps, rubella, and varicella in children.. Di Pietrantonj C et al.. Cochrane Database Syst Rev 2021 · PMID 34806766 · DOI 10.1002/14651858.CD004407.pub5
  3. Vaccines are not associated with autism: an evidence-based meta-analysis of case-control and cohort studies.. Taylor LE, Swerdfeger AL, Eslick GD. Vaccine 2014 · PMID 24814559 · DOI 10.1016/j.vaccine.2014.04.085
  4. Vaccines for preventing influenza in healthy adults.. Demicheli V et al.. Cochrane Database Syst Rev 2018 · PMID 29388196 · DOI 10.1002/14651858.CD001269.pub6

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