Randomised controlled trialcited by the Tayebat archiveabstract only checked A-SUP-20 standard review

Yearly vitamin D mega-dose

Annual high-dose oral vitamin D and falls and fractures in older women: a randomized controlled trial.

Overview

Sanders KM et al.. JAMA 2010 · PMID 20460620 · DOI 10.1001/jama.2010.594

More falls and fractures with 500,000 IU once a year.

Does the study support the specific claim? Yes · Methodological quality: high

Original publication

Plain-language summary

Study explained simply
What did the researchers want to find out?

Falls prevention.

How was the study done?

RCT.

How many people, animals or samples were studied?

2,256 women.

What was actually found?

More falls and fractures.

How large was the observed effect?

RR 1.15; 1.26.

What do the results mean in everyday life?

Avoid mega-doses.

What are the study's limitations?

Regimen-specific.

What does it say about Elawady's specific claim?

Supports for this regimen.

Do the results apply to Germany and Europe?

Applicable.

What can explicitly not be concluded from this study?

Daily doses.

Scientific in-depth review

1. Full reference

Authors
Sanders KM, Stuart AL, Williamson EJ, Simpson JA, Kotowicz MA, Young D, Nicholson GC
Journal
JAMA
Year
2010
Identifier
PMID 20460620 DOI 10.1001/jama.2010.594
Verification
verified – PubMed E-utilities efetch, 2026-10-25
Retracted
no
Corrections

PubMed lists: ErratumIn (JAMA. 2010 Jun 16;303(23):2357)

Extent checked
abstract only
Conflicts of interest and funding

not stated in abstract

2. Research question

Does annual 500,000 IU oral cholecalciferol reduce falls and fractures?

3. Study design and population

Study design
Randomised controlled trial – Double-blind placebo-controlled RCT
Population

Community-dwelling women ≥70 at high fracture risk

Country

Australia

Period

2003–2008; 3–5 years

Sample size

2,256

Inclusion and exclusion criteria

see abstract

4. Methods and endpoints

Exposure / intervention

500,000 IU cholecalciferol each autumn/winter

Comparator

Placebo

Endpoints

Falls, fractures

Statistical methods

Incidence rate ratios

5. Actual results

Results

Falls RR 1.15 (1.02–1.30); fractures RR 1.26 (1.00–1.59); 4.9 vs 3.9 fractures per 100 person-years; falls RR 1.31 in first 3 months.

Absolute risks

4.9 vs 3.9 fractures per 100 person-years

Authors' conclusion

Annual high-dose cholecalciferol increased falls and fractures.

6. Strengths

  • RCT
  • Hard outcomes

7. Weaknesses

  • Unusual bolus regimen

8. Risk of bias

Orienting tool
RoB 2
Type of assessment
simplified assessment (abstract only)
Full formal assessment
no
Overall risk of bias
low
Rationale

Simplified RoB 2.

9. Assessment of the statistical interpretation

See results.

10. Relevance to the specific claim

C-SUP-07.

11. Independent contrary findings

VITAL daily 2,000 IU: no excess adverse events.

12. Transferability to Germany and Europe

High: biology and trial populations comparable to European adults.

13. Overall methodological judgement

Clear harm of mega-bolus.

Multidimensional assessment
Multidimensional assessment
Authenticity of the sourceverified
Methodological qualityhigh
Risk of biaslow
Precision of resultsmoderate
Directnessdirect
Reproducibilitypartly replicated
Consistency with the overall evidenceconsistent
Regional transferabilityhigh
Adequacy of the interpretation (by the archive)essentially correct but incomplete

14. Open questions

15. Linked fact checks

Use by the Tayebat archive

Note: according to the archive, the studies were compiled by the archive operators. Whether Dr. Elawady himself cited this study is not established.

What the archive says about the study

Listed in the archive bibliography of the oral-supplements rule without its own interpretation; used implicitly to support the rule summary that supplements 'failed or caused harm' in large trials.

A. What was actually studied?

Does annual 500,000 IU oral cholecalciferol reduce falls and fractures?

B. What did the authors find?

Falls RR 1.15 (1.02–1.30); fractures RR 1.26 (1.00–1.59); 4.9 vs 3.9 fractures per 100 person-years; falls RR 1.31 in first 3 months.

C. What conclusions do the authors themselves draw?

Annual high-dose cholecalciferol increased falls and fractures.

D. What does the archive derive from it?

Supports 'more hip fractures'/falls.

E. Is this derivation scientifically justified?

Yes for mega-bolus; not for daily dosing.

Adequacy of the interpretation (by the archive)
essentially correct but incomplete