Randomised controlled trialcited by the Tayebat archiveabstract only checked A-SUP-20 standard review
Yearly vitamin D mega-dose
Annual high-dose oral vitamin D and falls and fractures in older women: a randomized controlled trial.
Overview
Sanders KM et al.. JAMA 2010 · PMID 20460620 · DOI 10.1001/jama.2010.594
More falls and fractures with 500,000 IU once a year.
Does the study support the specific claim? Yes · Methodological quality: high
Plain-language summary
Study explained simply
- What did the researchers want to find out?
Falls prevention.
- How was the study done?
RCT.
- How many people, animals or samples were studied?
2,256 women.
- What was actually found?
More falls and fractures.
- How large was the observed effect?
RR 1.15; 1.26.
- What do the results mean in everyday life?
Avoid mega-doses.
- What are the study's limitations?
Regimen-specific.
- What does it say about Elawady's specific claim?
Supports for this regimen.
- Do the results apply to Germany and Europe?
Applicable.
- What can explicitly not be concluded from this study?
Daily doses.
Scientific in-depth review
1. Full reference
- Authors
- Sanders KM, Stuart AL, Williamson EJ, Simpson JA, Kotowicz MA, Young D, Nicholson GC
- Journal
- JAMA
- Year
- 2010
- Identifier
- PMID 20460620 DOI 10.1001/jama.2010.594
- Verification
- verified – PubMed E-utilities efetch, 2026-10-25
- Retracted
- no
- Corrections
PubMed lists: ErratumIn (JAMA. 2010 Jun 16;303(23):2357)
- Extent checked
- abstract only
- Conflicts of interest and funding
not stated in abstract
2. Research question
Does annual 500,000 IU oral cholecalciferol reduce falls and fractures?
3. Study design and population
- Study design
- Randomised controlled trial – Double-blind placebo-controlled RCT
- Population
Community-dwelling women ≥70 at high fracture risk
- Country
Australia
- Period
2003–2008; 3–5 years
- Sample size
2,256
- Inclusion and exclusion criteria
see abstract
4. Methods and endpoints
- Exposure / intervention
500,000 IU cholecalciferol each autumn/winter
- Comparator
Placebo
- Endpoints
Falls, fractures
- Statistical methods
Incidence rate ratios
5. Actual results
- Results
Falls RR 1.15 (1.02–1.30); fractures RR 1.26 (1.00–1.59); 4.9 vs 3.9 fractures per 100 person-years; falls RR 1.31 in first 3 months.
- Absolute risks
4.9 vs 3.9 fractures per 100 person-years
- Authors' conclusion
Annual high-dose cholecalciferol increased falls and fractures.
6. Strengths
- RCT
- Hard outcomes
7. Weaknesses
- Unusual bolus regimen
8. Risk of bias
- Orienting tool
- RoB 2
- Type of assessment
- simplified assessment (abstract only)
- Full formal assessment
- no
- Overall risk of bias
- low
- Rationale
Simplified RoB 2.
9. Assessment of the statistical interpretation
See results.
10. Relevance to the specific claim
11. Independent contrary findings
VITAL daily 2,000 IU: no excess adverse events.
12. Transferability to Germany and Europe
High: biology and trial populations comparable to European adults.
13. Overall methodological judgement
Clear harm of mega-bolus.
| Multidimensional assessment | |
|---|---|
| Authenticity of the source | verified |
| Methodological quality | high |
| Risk of bias | low |
| Precision of results | moderate |
| Directness | direct |
| Reproducibility | partly replicated |
| Consistency with the overall evidence | consistent |
| Regional transferability | high |
| Adequacy of the interpretation (by the archive) | essentially correct but incomplete |
14. Open questions
15. Linked fact checks
Use by the Tayebat archive
Note: according to the archive, the studies were compiled by the archive operators. Whether Dr. Elawady himself cited this study is not established.
- What the archive says about the study
Listed in the archive bibliography of the oral-supplements rule without its own interpretation; used implicitly to support the rule summary that supplements 'failed or caused harm' in large trials.
- A. What was actually studied?
Does annual 500,000 IU oral cholecalciferol reduce falls and fractures?
- B. What did the authors find?
Falls RR 1.15 (1.02–1.30); fractures RR 1.26 (1.00–1.59); 4.9 vs 3.9 fractures per 100 person-years; falls RR 1.31 in first 3 months.
- C. What conclusions do the authors themselves draw?
Annual high-dose cholecalciferol increased falls and fractures.
- D. What does the archive derive from it?
Supports 'more hip fractures'/falls.
- E. Is this derivation scientifically justified?
Yes for mega-bolus; not for daily dosing.
- Adequacy of the interpretation (by the archive)
- essentially correct but incomplete