Cohort studyindependent cross-checkabstract checked I-CHK-103 standard review

No link between poultry and death or heart disease in 21 countries

Associations of unprocessed and processed meat intake with mortality and cardiovascular disease in 21 countries [Prospective Urban Rural Epidemiology (PURE) Study]: a prospective cohort study.

Overview

Iqbal R et al.. Am J Clin Nutr 2021 · PMID 33787869 · DOI 10.1093/ajcn/nqaa448

In 134,297 people from 21 countries, poultry intake was not related to death or major heart disease.

Does the study support the specific claim? No · Methodological quality: moderate

Original publication

Plain-language summary

Study explained simply
What did the researchers want to find out?

Are unprocessed red meat, poultry and processed meat associated with mortality and major CVD?

How was the study done?

Prospective multinational cohort (PURE), 21 low-, middle- and high-income countries

How many people, animals or samples were studied?

134,297 participants; 7,789 deaths; 6,976 CVD events

What was actually found?

No association between poultry intake and total mortality or major CVD (numbers for poultry not given in abstract). Processed meat >=150 g/wk vs 0: mortality HR 1.51 (1.08-2.10), major CVD HR 1.46 (1.08-1.98).

How large was the observed effect?

No association between poultry intake and total mortality or major CVD (numbers for poultry not given in abstract). Processed meat >=150 g/wk vs 0: mortality HR 1.51 (1.08-2.10), major CVD HR 1.46 (1.08-1.98).

What do the results mean in everyday life?

Chicken eaters in many countries did not have worse outcomes.

What are the study's limitations?

Poultry results only qualitatively in abstract; Observational

What does it say about Elawady's specific claim?

Contradicts an intrinsic harm of chicken.

Do the results apply to Germany and Europe?

Includes European and non-European countries.

What can explicitly not be concluded from this study?

Effect sizes for poultry cannot be read from the abstract.

Scientific in-depth review

1. Full reference

Authors
Iqbal R et al.
Journal
Am J Clin Nutr
Year
2021
Identifier
PMID 33787869 DOI 10.1093/ajcn/nqaa448
Verification
verified – PubMed efetch 2026-10-26; Crossref 2026-10-26
Retracted
no
Corrections
none
Extent checked
abstract only
Conflicts of interest and funding

not stated in abstract

2. Research question

Are unprocessed red meat, poultry and processed meat associated with mortality and major CVD?

3. Study design and population

Study design
Cohort study – Prospective multinational cohort (PURE), 21 low-, middle- and high-income countries
Population

Adults in 21 countries

Country

21 countries (multinational)

Period

median follow-up 9.5 y

Sample size

134,297 participants; 7,789 deaths; 6,976 CVD events

Inclusion and exclusion criteria

as described in the abstract

4. Methods and endpoints

Exposure / intervention

Poultry intake (categories)

Comparator

Low intake

Endpoints

Total mortality; major CVD

Statistical methods

as reported in the abstract

5. Actual results

Results

No association between poultry intake and total mortality or major CVD (numbers for poultry not given in abstract). Processed meat >=150 g/wk vs 0: mortality HR 1.51 (1.08-2.10), major CVD HR 1.46 (1.08-1.98).

Absolute risks

not reported

Authors' conclusion

No significant associations of unprocessed red meat or poultry with mortality or major CVD.

6. Strengths

  • Large, multinational including middle-income countries
  • Country-specific validated FFQs

7. Weaknesses

  • Poultry results only qualitatively in abstract
  • Observational

8. Risk of bias

Orienting tool
ROBINS-E
Type of assessment
simplified assessment (abstract only)
Full formal assessment
no
Overall risk of bias
some concerns
Rationale

Observational; FFQ.

9. Assessment of the statistical interpretation

Null association in a cohort that includes lower- and middle-income settings.

10. Relevance to the specific claim

Tests poultry and health outcomes in diverse countries, closer to Middle-East dietary settings than US cohorts.

11. Independent contrary findings

12. Transferability to Germany and Europe

13. Overall methodological judgement

In 134,297 people from 21 countries, poultry intake was not related to death or major heart disease.

Multidimensional assessment
Multidimensional assessment
Authenticity of the sourceverified
Methodological qualitymoderate
Risk of biassome concerns
Precision of resultsmoderate
Directnessdirect
Reproducibilityreplicated
Consistency with the overall evidenceconsistent
Regional transferabilitymoderate
Adequacy of the interpretation (by the archive)not applicable

14. Open questions

15. Linked fact checks