Cohort studyindependent cross-checkabstract only checked I-SOD-06 standard review
Diet drinks and stroke in 81,000 women
Artificially Sweetened Beverages and Stroke, Coronary Heart Disease, and All-Cause Mortality in the Women's Health Initiative.
Overview
Mossavar-Rahmani Y et al.. Stroke 2019 · PMID 30802187 · DOI 10.1161/STROKEAHA.118.023100
Women drinking two or more diet drinks daily had 31% more ischaemic strokes; far less than the 'triple' figure.
Does the study support the specific claim? Partly · Methodological quality: high
Plain-language summary
Study explained simply
- What did the researchers want to find out?
Is ASB intake associated with stroke, CHD and mortality?
- How was the study done?
Prospective cohort (WHI Observational Study).
- How many people, animals or samples were studied?
81,714; Postmenopausal women 50-79
- What was actually found?
>=2 ASB/day vs <1/week: all stroke HR 1.23 (1.02-1.47); ischaemic stroke 1.31 (1.06-1.63); CHD 1.29 (1.11-1.51); all-cause mortality 1.16 (1.07-1.26); small-artery occlusion stroke 2.44 in women without CVD/diabetes.
- How large was the observed effect?
HR 1.31 (1.06-1.63) ischaemic stroke
- What do the results mean in everyday life?
A modest association, possibly confounded.
- What are the study's limitations?
Reverse causation; Single population; Observational design; residual confounding possible; Self-reported dietary intake
- What does it say about Elawady's specific claim?
Mixed/limiting for C-SOD-06 (direction supported, magnitude much smaller).
- Do the results apply to Germany and Europe?
Moderate.
- What can explicitly not be concluded from this study?
Causation.
Scientific in-depth review
1. Full reference
- Authors
- Mossavar-Rahmani Y et al.
- Journal
- Stroke
- Year
- 2019
- Identifier
- PMID 30802187 DOI 10.1161/STROKEAHA.118.023100
- Verification
- verified – PubMed efetch 2026-10-25
- Retracted
- no
- Corrections
Erratum: Stroke 2019;50(6):e176; content not reviewed
- Extent checked
- abstract only
- Conflicts of interest and funding
Not stated in abstract; NIH funding
2. Research question
Is ASB intake associated with stroke, CHD and mortality?
3. Study design and population
- Study design
- Cohort study – Prospective cohort (WHI Observational Study).
- Population
Postmenopausal women 50-79
- Country
USA
- Period
1993-1998 enrolment; mean 11.9 y
- Sample size
81,714
- Inclusion and exclusion criteria
Completed 3-year follow-up visit
4. Methods and endpoints
- Exposure / intervention
ASB intake (>=2/day highest)
- Comparator
Never/<1 per week
- Endpoints
Stroke and subtypes, CHD, mortality
- Statistical methods
Multivariable Cox
5. Actual results
- Results
>=2 ASB/day vs <1/week: all stroke HR 1.23 (1.02-1.47); ischaemic stroke 1.31 (1.06-1.63); CHD 1.29 (1.11-1.51); all-cause mortality 1.16 (1.07-1.26); small-artery occlusion stroke 2.44 in women without CVD/diabetes.
- Absolute risks
not reported
- Authors' conclusion
Higher ASB intake associated with stroke, CHD and mortality; requires replication.
6. Strengths
- Large cohort
7. Weaknesses
- Reverse causation
- Single population
- Observational design; residual confounding possible
- Self-reported dietary intake
8. Risk of bias
- Orienting tool
- ROBINS-E
- Type of assessment
- simplified assessment (abstract only)
- Full formal assessment
- no
- Overall risk of bias
- some concerns
- Rationale
Confounding.
9. Assessment of the statistical interpretation
Modest HRs; much smaller than Pase 2017.
10. Relevance to the specific claim
Mixed/limiting for C-SOD-06 (direction supported, magnitude much smaller).
11. Independent contrary findings
None.
12. Transferability to Germany and Europe
Moderate.
13. Overall methodological judgement
Larger, more precise estimate than Pase 2017.
| Multidimensional assessment | |
|---|---|
| Authenticity of the source | verified |
| Methodological quality | high |
| Risk of bias | some concerns |
| Precision of results | high |
| Directness | direct |
| Reproducibility | partly replicated |
| Consistency with the overall evidence | mixed |
| Regional transferability | moderate |
| Adequacy of the interpretation (by the archive) | not applicable |
14. Open questions
Causality.
15. Linked fact checks
- One diet soda per day nearly triples the risk of ischaemic stroke and of Alzheimer's dementia. – Studies contradicting or limiting the claim